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2013-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.8 โœ“ (35.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +46 (88-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Demetrius Treadwell * 34 6-9 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 1 3 15 11 -
Zeke Marshall * 32 4-7 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 4 1 11 12 -
Carmelo Betancourt * 31 0-5 0-3 3-4 6 4 0 0 5 3 3 -
Chauncey Gilliam * 30 3-9 0-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
Jake Kretzer 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Nick Harney 18 2-6 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 1 5 6 -2 -
Reggie McAdams 17 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Brian Walsh 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Pat Forsythe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Luke Avsec 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Daniels * 26 8-13 6-11 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 23 16 -
Juvonte Reddic * 23 9-12 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 0 1 21 17 -
Rob Brandenberg * 19 5-9 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 14 10 -
Treveon Graham * 18 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Darius Theus * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 0 4 11 -
Melvin Johnson 23 4-10 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 10 4 -
Teddy Okereafor 18 0-2 0-0 2-4 0 3 2 0 2 2 3 -
Justin Tuoyo 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
David Hinton 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jarred Guest 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Briante Weber 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter