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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

66.0
PPG
65.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
42.7%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
11.5
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#50
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1409 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1260 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1184 (#8) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +9.2 (#52) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.2 (#34) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.801 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More โ†’ 0.831 (#56) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More โ†’ 0.832 (#56) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.3 More โ†’ 0.691 (#50) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.2 More โ†’ 0.691 (#26) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.802 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.802 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1286 (#19) RD 113 | GP 33

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 63 - 57
2011-11-17 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 54 - 69
2011-11-18 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 60 - 73
2011-11-20 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 69 - 64
2011-11-23 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 68 - 45
2011-11-27 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 64 - 72
2011-11-30 vs South Florida Bulls W 69 - 46
2011-12-04 @ George Washington Colonials W 75 - 60
2011-12-09 vs Richmond Spiders W 73 - 51
2011-12-17 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 87 - 64
2011-12-20 vs UAB Blazers W 68 - 49
2011-12-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 80 - 68
2011-12-29 @ Akron Zips W 76 - 75
2012-01-02 @ Hofstra Pride W 80 - 63
2012-01-04 vs Georgia State Panthers L 53 - 55
2012-01-08 @ Drexel Dragons L 58 - 64
2012-01-14 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 68 - 55
2012-01-19 vs William & Mary Tribe W 69 - 68
2012-01-23 vs Hofstra Pride W 61 - 49
2012-01-25 @ Towson Tigers W 67 - 42
2012-01-28 @ Georgia State Panthers W 59 - 58
2012-02-01 @ William & Mary Tribe W 87 - 78
2012-02-04 vs Northeastern Huskies W 59 - 56
2012-02-08 vs Towson Tigers W 66 - 43
2012-02-14 @ George Mason Patriots L 61 - 62
2012-02-17 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 77 - 68
2012-02-22 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 63 - 59
2012-02-25 vs George Mason Patriots W 89 - 77
2012-03-03 vs Northeastern Huskies W 75 - 65
2012-03-04 vs George Mason Patriots W 74 - 64
2012-03-05 @ Drexel Dragons W 59 - 56
2012-03-15 @ Wichita State Shockers W 62 - 59
2012-03-17 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 63

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bradford Burgess Bradford Burgess G-F 33 32.5 13.6 4.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 1.1 4.7 15.4 158 28 5.6 7.7 34.8 34.4 84.0 2.72 126.6 44.8
Juvonte Reddic Juvonte Reddic F 33 27.0 10.6 6.5 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.6 3.4 14.9 116 28 4.1 6.6 51.3 0.0 60.5 -0.83 132.7 51.3
Troy Daniels Troy Daniels G 33 24.0 9.9 3.4 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.9 3.0 11.2 94 28 3.4 6.2 32.3 32.9 64.3 -0.14 156.0 44.4
Rob Brandenberg Rob Brandenberg G 33 26.5 9.6 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 1.3 3.2 11.5 107 28 3.8 6.5 32.7 32.1 69.4 0.35 129.0 41.1
Darius Theus Darius Theus G 33 31.2 8.0 2.2 5.0 2.1 0.2 2.2 3.1 12.1 149 28 5.3 7.6 40.8 4.5 73.1 3.11 115.8 41.3
Treveon Graham Treveon Graham G 33 16.3 6.7 3.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 1.0 2.0 8.3 86 28 3.1 7.9 35.4 24.1 64.0 1.9 127.0 40.8
Briante Weber Briante Weber G 33 18.6 4.8 3.0 1.6 2.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 8.5 79 28 2.8 6.4 46.2 38.9 68.4 -0.25 108.4 51.5
D.J. Haley D.J. Haley C 33 15.5 3.3 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 6.8 48 28 1.7 5.1 59.4 0 42.9 -0.53 133.4 59.4
Jarred Guest Jarred Guest F 18 4.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8 6 12 0.5 5.3 0 0 100.0 -1.26 340.9 0
Reco McCarter Reco McCarter F 8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 - - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.84 104.2 75.0
Teddy Okereafor Teddy Okereafor G 25 5.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 0 19 0.0 0.0 36.4 0.0 50.0 -3.49 82.3 36.4
Heath Houston Heath Houston F 9 4.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0 0.47 300.0 100.0
David Hinton David Hinton F 18 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 -1 16 -0.1 -1.1 0.0 0 0.0 -1.68 102.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG