VCU
2012 Team Stats (4 games)
66.0
PPG
65.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
42.7%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
11.5
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#50
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1409 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1260 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1184 (#8) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.2 (#52) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +11.2 (#34) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.801 (#36) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.831 (#56) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.832 (#56) | AdjNet +13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.691 (#50) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.691 (#26) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.802 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.802 (#26) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1286 (#19) | RD 113 | GP 33 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradford Burgess
|
G-F | 33 | 32.5 | 13.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 15.4 | 158 | 28 | 5.6 | 7.7 | 34.8 | 34.4 | 84.0 | 2.72 | 126.6 | 44.8 |
Juvonte Reddic
|
F | 33 | 27.0 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 14.9 | 116 | 28 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 51.3 | 0.0 | 60.5 | -0.83 | 132.7 | 51.3 |
Troy Daniels
|
G | 33 | 24.0 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 11.2 | 94 | 28 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 32.3 | 32.9 | 64.3 | -0.14 | 156.0 | 44.4 |
Rob Brandenberg
|
G | 33 | 26.5 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 11.5 | 107 | 28 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 32.7 | 32.1 | 69.4 | 0.35 | 129.0 | 41.1 |
Darius Theus
|
G | 33 | 31.2 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 12.1 | 149 | 28 | 5.3 | 7.6 | 40.8 | 4.5 | 73.1 | 3.11 | 115.8 | 41.3 |
Treveon Graham
|
G | 33 | 16.3 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 86 | 28 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 35.4 | 24.1 | 64.0 | 1.9 | 127.0 | 40.8 |
Briante Weber
|
G | 33 | 18.6 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 79 | 28 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 46.2 | 38.9 | 68.4 | -0.25 | 108.4 | 51.5 |
D.J. Haley
|
C | 33 | 15.5 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 48 | 28 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 59.4 | 0 | 42.9 | -0.53 | 133.4 | 59.4 |
Jarred Guest
|
F | 18 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6 | 12 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.26 | 340.9 | 0 |
Reco McCarter
|
F | 8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.84 | 104.2 | 75.0 |
Teddy Okereafor
|
G | 25 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0 | 19 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.49 | 82.3 | 36.4 |
Heath Houston
|
F | 9 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 300.0 | 100.0 |
David Hinton
|
F | 18 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -1 | 16 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.68 | 102.5 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG