Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.6% | 4.4% | -21.9 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe -9 (78-87). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford Burgess * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Juvonte Reddic * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Troy Daniels * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Darius Theus * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Haley * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rob Brandenberg | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Briante Weber | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Treveon Graham | 21 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Teddy Okereafor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn McDowell * | 38 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Matt Rum * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 34 | 10-12 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Britt * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Julian Boatner | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Fred Heldring | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tom Schalk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Pavloff | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter