🐻⬇️🏀

Utah State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History
Coach: Stew Morrill

2014 Team Stats (6 games)

59.7
PPG
71.3
Opp
-11.7
Margin
40.9%
FG%
41.2%
3P%
62.2%
FT%
33.5
RPG
13.7
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.4
Adj PPG
65.6
Adj Opp PPG
#112
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1063 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1059 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 997 (#178) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.2 (#114) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.8 (#142) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.571 (#131) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.1 More → 0.669 (#110) AdjNet +6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More → 0.670 (#110) AdjNet +6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.584 (#112) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.500 (#177) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.588 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.571 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 31 More → 1087 (#108) RD 133 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs USC Trojans W 78 - 65
2013-11-12 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 90 - 57
2013-11-16 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 71 - 64
2013-11-23 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 87 - 68
2013-11-26 @ Weber State Wildcats W 77 - 71
2013-11-30 @ BYU Cougars L 74 - 85
2013-12-07 vs Pacific Tigers L 68 - 78
2013-12-14 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 71 - 60
2013-12-19 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 68 - 52
2013-12-20 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 77 - 71
2013-12-21 vs Troy Trojans W 71 - 50
2013-12-28 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 84 - 53
2014-01-01 @ Air Force Falcons L 72 - 73
2014-01-04 vs San José State Spartans W 86 - 67
2014-01-11 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 54 - 62
2014-01-15 vs Colorado State Rams W 57 - 50
2014-01-18 @ Boise State Broncos L 74 - 78
2014-01-22 @ UNLV Rebels L 42 - 62
2014-01-25 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 69 - 74
2014-01-28 vs New Mexico Lobos L 65 - 78
2014-02-01 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 57 - 74
2014-02-05 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 83 - 75
2014-02-08 vs Boise State Broncos W 76 - 70
2014-02-11 @ Colorado State Rams W 71 - 62
2014-02-15 vs UNLV Rebels L 62 - 73
2014-02-18 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 45 - 60
2014-02-22 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 76 - 79
2014-02-25 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 67
2014-03-01 @ San José State Spartans W 75 - 58
2014-03-05 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 65 - 54
2014-03-12 vs Colorado State Rams W 73 - 69
2014-03-13 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 39 - 73

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jarred Shaw Jarred Shaw F 22 27.1 14.4 8.1 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.8 4.0 18.8 13 25 0.5 0.8 44.9 0.0 57.1 0.86 166.6 44.9
Spencer Butterfield Spencer Butterfield G 26 30.8 13.3 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.3 1.9 3.0 18.0 28 29 1.0 1.3 44.2 37.5 81.2 0.01 205.3 53.9
Preston Medlin Preston Medlin G 26 33.3 12.5 2.7 3.9 0.3 0.0 1.5 3.2 14.8 36 29 1.2 1.6 38.6 43.6 71.4 1.58 182.8 48.8
Kyle Davis Kyle Davis F 23 25.1 9.1 7.9 1.3 0.4 1.3 1.6 2.0 16.5 55 26 2.1 3.6 50.0 0 72.0 1.67 184.2 50.0
Jalen Moore Jalen Moore F 26 17.3 5.4 2.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.2 7.6 -39 29 -1.3 -3.4 58.1 33.3 66.7 -1.48 201.7 62.9
TeNale Roland TeNale Roland G 26 23.3 4.9 1.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 1.3 7.7 3 29 0.1 0.2 34.3 40.0 50.0 0.09 170.0 45.7
Marcel Davis Marcel Davis G 22 17.1 3.7 1.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.7 7.1 32 25 1.3 3.2 40.0 50.0 71.4 1.21 226.8 43.3
Danny Berger Danny Berger F 22 11.7 2.7 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 4.6 -16 25 -0.6 -2.4 30.0 0.0 50.0 -1.05 250.9 30.0
Jordan Stone Jordan Stone C 26 12.2 2.7 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.7 4.4 -1 29 0.0 -0.1 63.2 0 20.0 -0.12 165.1 63.2
Ben Clifford Ben Clifford F 16 9.4 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 4.1 -7 17 -0.4 -1.8 50.0 50.0 100.0 -3.75 430.3 62.5
JoJo McGlaston JoJo McGlaston G 18 8.6 2.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 -39 21 -1.9 -9.5 34.8 40.0 28.6 -2.37 80.5 43.5
Viko Noma'aea Viko Noma'aea G 11 5.8 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 -7 12 -0.6 -4.4 50.0 50.0 0 -1.07 106.2 68.8
Sean Harris Sean Harris F 7 4.4 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.1 -3 8 -0.4 -3.7 0 0 0 -2.11 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG