Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (29.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +34 (73-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shaw * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| P. Medlin * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Davis * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Roland * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Butterfield * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Moore | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. McGlaston | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Berger | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Stone | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Clifford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Noma'aea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| X. Thames * | 22 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Quinn | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Polee II | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Allen | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter