Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Spencer * | 40 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| X. Thames * | 39 | 10-21 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - |
| J. Davis * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Quinn | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Polee II | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 10 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Butterfield * | 40 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| P. Medlin * | 40 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Moore * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Shaw * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Roland | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Stone | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Berger | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Clifford | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter