UT Arlington Mavericks
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1285 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1157 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 911 (#598) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +23.1 (#172) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +7.8 (#237) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.522 (#210) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.615 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.583 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 948 (#280) | RD 158 | GP 25 |
2022 Schedule & Results
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Sow
|
F | 1 | 33.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 157 | 5.6 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.02 | 0 | 0 |
F. Lacis
|
F | 1 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Mason
|
G | 1 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 205 | 5.9 | 9.1 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.49 | 65.8 | 50.0 |
M. Morris
|
G | 1 | 29.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 173 | 4.8 | 8.1 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 0.19 | 74.0 | 65.0 |
D. Azore
|
G | 19 | 34.8 | 19.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 20.8 | -57 | -2.2 | -2.6 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.42 | 320.9 | 46.9 |
S. Adams
|
G | 2 | 33.5 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.5 | 208 | 7.4 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.68 | 0 | 0 |
R. Idehen
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 93 | 3.4 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
T. Pulliam
|
G | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 189 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.31 | 67.1 | 50.0 |
I. Small
|
F | 2 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 149 | 5.3 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
P. Mwamba
|
- | 19 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 13.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 367.4 | 17.4 |
D. Smith
|
- | 1 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | -65 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0 | 0 |
D. Gueye
|
F | 3 | 19.7 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 15.0 | -15 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 1363.6 | 0 |
N. Elame
|
G | 17 | 21.6 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 11.5 | -92 | -3.7 | -7.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -0.84 | 273.8 | 50.0 |
P. Castro
|
- | 7 | 25.9 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 9.4 | -15 | -1.7 | -2.8 | 41.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.26 | 112.5 | 52.1 |
C. Bischoff
|
G | 17 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.67 | 1805.6 | 0.0 |
E. Lufile
|
F | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 131 | 4.7 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.07 | 0 | 0 |
J. Levi
|
G | 18 | 29.3 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 13.0 | -18 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 29.4 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0.42 | 250.0 | 32.4 |
S. Wilson
|
- | 22 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8.4 | -43 | -1.7 | -4.7 | 69.2 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.13 | 354.9 | 69.2 |
K. Akobundu-Ehiogu
|
- | 20 | 22.1 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 11.4 | 15 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 63.6 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 362.0 | 63.6 |
L. Rojas
|
F | 17 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 6.2 | -37 | -1.5 | -6.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.45 | 603.7 | 60.0 |
R. Miller
|
G | 1 | 36.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -101 | -3.5 | -4.5 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.71 | 18.6 | 11.1 |
J. Hoiberg
|
G | 20 | 14.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 63.6 | 80.0 | 83.3 | 0.33 | 241.9 | 81.8 |
Antwon Jackson
|
F | 2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 254 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0 | 0 |
K. Dinwiddie Jr.
|
- | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -48 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.09 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Brandyn Talbot
|
G | 19 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 712.5 | 75.0 |
Marcus Rigsby Jr.
|
- | 23 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.1 | -219 | -6.8 | -8.6 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.92 | 471.4 | 21.4 |
T. Curtis II
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 |
B. Horvath
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 209 | 6.1 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
M. Fantina
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -14 | -1.4 | -11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
F. Cadeaux de Dieu
|
F | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.25 | 113.6 | 0 |
C. Baker-Mazara
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 86 | 2.8 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.7 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
D. Cadwell
|
G | 2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 48 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 |
B. Au
|
G | 3 | 17.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
S. TourΓ©
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 |
T. Wagstaff
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Lacewell
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
N. Thelissen
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -1.5 | -20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG