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USC

Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History

2019 Team Stats (6 games)

71.3
PPG
77.5
Opp
-6.2
Margin
44.6%
FG%
38.6%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
32.8
RPG
13.5
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.9
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#77
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1023 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 971 (#211) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +7.3 (#77) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +7.5 (#72) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.623 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.2 More โ†’ 0.784 (#73) AdjNet +11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.3 More โ†’ 0.788 (#73) AdjNet +11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.646 (#77) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.589 (#78) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.624 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.613 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1022 (#157) RD 130 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 83 - 62
2018-11-11 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 78 - 82
2018-11-14 vs Stetson Hatters W 95 - 59
2018-11-19 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 63 - 78
2018-11-20 @ Missouri State Bears W 99 - 80
2018-11-25 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 90 - 75
2018-11-28 vs Long Beach State Beach W 75 - 65
2018-12-01 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 73
2018-12-07 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 61 - 96
2018-12-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 70 - 81
2018-12-18 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 92 - 102
2018-12-21 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 91 - 49
2018-12-30 vs UC Davis Aggies W 73 - 55
2019-01-03 vs California Golden Bears W 82 - 73
2019-01-06 vs Stanford Cardinal W 77 - 66
2019-01-10 @ Oregon State Beavers L 74 - 79
2019-01-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 60 - 81
2019-01-19 vs UCLA Bruins W 80 - 67
2019-01-24 vs Arizona Wildcats W 80 - 57
2019-01-26 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 69 - 67
2019-01-30 @ Washington Huskies L 62 - 75
2019-02-02 @ Washington State Cougars W 93 - 84
2019-02-06 vs Utah Utes L 70 - 77
2019-02-09 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 65 - 69
2019-02-13 @ Stanford Cardinal L 76 - 79
2019-02-16 @ California Golden Bears W 89 - 66
2019-02-21 vs Oregon Ducks W 66 - 49
2019-02-23 vs Oregon State Beavers L 62 - 67
2019-02-28 @ UCLA Bruins L 88 - 93
2019-03-07 @ Utah Utes L 74 - 83
2019-03-09 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 67 - 78
2019-03-13 vs Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 65
2019-03-14 @ Washington Huskies L 75 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Boatwright B. Boatwright F 28 33.4 18.0 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.6 1.5 4.6 22.6 117 27 4.3 5.4 43.8 39.7 68.3 2.39 172.2 53.5
N. Rakocevic N. Rakocevic F 30 29.7 14.4 9.6 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.8 3.2 22.5 159 28 5.7 8.0 47.9 0.0 73.2 3.67 179.0 47.9
J. Mathews J. Mathews G 30 33.1 12.7 2.9 2.1 1.2 0.3 1.4 3.3 14.4 139 28 5.0 6.4 41.8 35.2 64.7 2.07 180.1 51.5
K. Porter Jr. K. Porter Jr. - 4 23.0 10.2 3.8 0.8 1.0 0.8 2.0 7.5 7.0 55 18 3.1 6.0 50.0 38.5 60.0 -0.64 59.6 58.3
J. Usher J. Usher G 11 24.7 9.4 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.3 1.8 2.5 11.1 37 10 3.7 6.7 50.0 40.0 62.5 0.41 163.4 57.1
S. Aaron S. Aaron G 30 28.1 8.4 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.3 1.3 2.4 12.6 66 28 2.4 3.5 47.9 48.1 65.2 -1.16 155.3 57.0
D. Thornton D. Thornton G 29 27.6 7.2 2.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 2.0 2.0 11.2 128 27 4.7 7.2 40.7 30.0 66.7 0.99 156.9 43.2
E. Weaver E. Weaver - 26 20.7 5.2 1.5 2.3 0.6 0.2 1.7 1.4 6.7 -38 25 -1.5 -3.1 41.7 45.0 100.0 -4.66 178.8 54.2
D. Fleming D. Fleming G 6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 -14 8 -1.8 -31.3 0 0 50.0 -1.99 340.9 0
V. Uyaelunmo V. Uyaelunmo C 25 6.7 0.8 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.7 -10 25 -0.4 -2.5 0.0 0 33.3 -1.81 226.3 0.0
M. Anderson M. Anderson G 4 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. O'Bannon Jr. C. O'Bannon Jr. - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J'R. Brooks J'R. Brooks - 3 9.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 -10 24 -0.4 -2.1 0.0 0 0.0 -0.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG