Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 38 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Martin * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Porter * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Henson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Rakocevic * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| J. Mathews * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Thornton * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Aaron * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Usher | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| E. Weaver | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter