Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Williams * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Coleman * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Lee * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Luther * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Jeter | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Randolph | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Doutrive | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Barcello | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Boatwright * | 36 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| S. Aaron * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Mathews * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Rakocevic * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Weaver * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Thornton | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Porter Jr. | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| V. Uyaelunmo | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J'R. Brooks | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter