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UL Monroe

Also known as: UL Monroe Warhawks
Program History

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

63.2
PPG
66.2
Opp
-3.0
Margin
40.4%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
33.6
RPG
16.2
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.7
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#264
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 875 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 804 (#312) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 889 (#314) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -6.5 (#263) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -5.5 (#256) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.289 (#276) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More โ†’ 0.241 (#272) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.0 More โ†’ 0.239 (#273) AdjNet -10.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.365 (#264) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 69.5 More โ†’ 0.415 (#254) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.310 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.319 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 31 More โ†’ 824 (#291) RD 132 | GP 31

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Centenary (LA) Gentlemen W 96 - 63
2016-11-14 @ Texas Longhorns L 59 - 80
2016-11-17 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 70 - 89
2016-11-21 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 75 - 81
2016-11-22 vs Bryant Bulldogs L 57 - 64
2016-11-28 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 77 - 72
2016-12-03 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 52 - 79
2016-12-10 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 88 - 83
2016-12-12 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 72 - 41
2016-12-17 vs Northwestern State Demons L 64 - 68
2016-12-20 @ Coppin State Eagles W 65 - 53
2016-12-22 @ VCU Rams L 65 - 78
2016-12-28 vs Grambling Tigers W 81 - 45
2016-12-31 @ Little Rock Trojans L 75 - 79
2017-01-02 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 45 - 76
2017-01-07 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 60 - 69
2017-01-14 vs Georgia State Panthers L 65 - 73
2017-01-16 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 60 - 62
2017-01-21 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 55 - 71
2017-01-23 @ Texas State Bobcats L 57 - 63
2017-01-28 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 63 - 73
2017-01-30 vs Little Rock Trojans W 68 - 52
2017-02-04 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 62 - 76
2017-02-06 @ Georgia State Panthers L 55 - 69
2017-02-11 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 63 - 66
2017-02-13 vs Troy Trojans L 72 - 73
2017-02-18 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 84 - 85
2017-02-25 @ App State Mountaineers W 75 - 64
2017-02-27 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 72 - 77
2017-03-02 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 57 - 72
2017-03-04 vs Texas State Bobcats L 65 - 70
2017-03-08 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 73 - 70
2017-03-10 @ Texas State Bobcats L 51 - 63

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Travis Munnings Travis Munnings F 19 34.1 13.8 7.9 2.1 0.8 0.4 2.0 3.1 20.0 -48 28 -1.7 -2.2 50.0 39.1 80.0 2.78 202.8 57.8
Sam McDaniel Sam McDaniel G 19 29.1 11.3 6.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 1.7 2.5 15.5 -100 28 -3.6 -5.3 35.4 31.6 70.0 -2.86 205.2 41.7
Nick Coppola Nick Coppola G 19 37.6 9.8 2.7 5.3 0.4 0.0 1.4 1.9 14.8 -81 28 -2.9 -3.2 32.4 26.1 61.5 2.62 217.7 40.5
Marcus Washington Marcus Washington G 19 23.7 9.7 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 1.9 2.8 12.1 -103 28 -3.7 -6.9 46.3 20.0 100.0 -2.05 165.9 48.1
Marvin Jean-Pierre Marvin Jean-Pierre G 18 23.6 8.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.1 10.7 -35 26 -1.3 -2.5 35.1 11.1 50.0 0.02 205.1 37.8
Jordon Harris Jordon Harris G 14 20.9 6.1 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.0 1.6 2.1 6.7 -42 19 -2.2 -4.0 24.1 27.8 100.0 -2.15 143.9 32.8
Prince Cooper Prince Cooper G 12 10.8 3.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.7 4.9 -17 15 -1.1 -3.8 50.0 100.0 0.0 -1.13 253.4 62.5
Sam Alabakis Sam Alabakis C 18 18.3 3.6 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 5.4 -69 27 -2.6 -6.0 55.6 0 75.0 -3.06 161.9 55.6
Wade Martin Wade Martin G 15 11.4 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 3.9 -42 22 -1.9 -6.7 42.9 33.3 0 -2.78 285.7 50.0
Lance Richard Lance Richard G 3 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.73 0 0
Roderick Taylor Roderick Taylor F 16 10.9 1.7 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 3.4 -71 23 -3.1 -12.6 33.3 0 0 -4.82 450.0 33.3
Ramses Sandifer Ramses Sandifer F 6 5.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 -11 6 -1.8 -12.2 33.3 33.3 0 -2.34 83.3 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG