Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Coppola * | 45 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Travis Munnings * | 38 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Sam Alabakis * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Washington * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Prince Cooper | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sam McDaniel | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Roderick Taylor | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter * | 42 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey * | 38 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 35 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jahmiah Simmons * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Deven Simms | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tamas Bruce | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Connor Kern | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter