Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Canete * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 39 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Dallas Cameron * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kevon Harris * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jovan Grujic * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Huntley | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Augustin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Traylor | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Samuli Nieminen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam McDaniel * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Travis Munnings * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Nick Coppola * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Marcus Washington * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Roderick Taylor * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Sam Alabakis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordon Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ramses Sandifer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wade Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter