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UL Monroe

Also known as: UL Monroe Warhawks
Program History

2006 Team Stats (4 games)

71.8
PPG
75.2
Opp
-3.5
Margin
47.7%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
34.3
RPG
12.8
APG
16.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.8
Adj PPG
68.4
Adj Opp PPG
#289
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 812 (#281) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 857 (#277) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 920 (#276) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -9.1 (#286) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -8.9 (#283) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.168 (#308) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.8 More โ†’ 0.153 (#287) AdjNet -14.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More โ†’ 0.151 (#287) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.314 (#289) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 66.4 More โ†’ 0.360 (#290) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.262 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.271 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 25 More โ†’ 834 (#277) RD 160 | GP 25

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-12 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 69 - 88
2005-11-13 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 58 - 74
2005-11-18 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats W 92 - 59
2005-11-20 vs SMU Mustangs W 71 - 64
2005-11-23 vs Belhaven College Blazers W 77 - 55
2005-11-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 55 - 90
2005-11-29 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 43 - 59
2005-12-02 @ Florida State Seminoles L 62 - 85
2005-12-10 vs William Carey Crusaders W 82 - 65
2005-12-14 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 71 - 81
2005-12-20 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 64 - 83
2006-01-02 @ Missouri Tigers L 44 - 73
2006-01-07 vs Northwestern State Demons L 68 - 81
2006-01-11 vs Nicholls Colonels W 78 - 59
2006-01-14 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 56 - 69
2006-01-19 @ Lamar Cardinals L 53 - 79
2006-01-21 @ McNeese Cowboys W 74 - 67
2006-01-26 vs Texas State Bobcats W 80 - 75
2006-01-28 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 77 - 68
2006-02-04 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 51 - 74
2006-02-07 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 80 - 66
2006-02-09 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 59 - 63
2006-02-11 @ Northwestern State Demons L 65 - 81
2006-02-16 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 40 - 42
2006-02-18 @ Nicholls Colonels W 74 - 59
2006-02-23 vs McNeese Cowboys L 38 - 62
2006-02-25 vs Lamar Cardinals L 83 - 89
2006-03-01 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 57 - 73

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.