Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | -6.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -4 (59-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clark | 40 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Miller | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Paez | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Hardaway | 28 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Josh Alexander | 24 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Dykes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Henry | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brasher | 37 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Hooper | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Harper | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Gary Robinson | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Melendez | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Perkins | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Garrison | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Meyerchick | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| O. Haranga | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter