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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Lamar Cardinals UL Monroe Warhawks Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“

Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Daniels 39 11-23 7-12 11-13 6 2 2 1 2 40 26 -
T. Fairley 38 3-11 0-0 4-4 11 2 0 1 1 10 12 -
B. Whittle 37 5-6 4-5 2-4 7 2 1 0 2 16 18 -
B. Chappell 36 5-11 3-7 0-0 1 8 1 0 3 13 9 -
J. Goodwin 27 4-7 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 10 12 -
N. Beard 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
B. McThay 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Grant 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Robinson 38 5-8 0-0 6-10 11 0 0 0 0 16 19 -
T. Hooper 35 5-10 2-6 0-0 7 14 3 0 6 12 20 -
L. Brasher 32 6-15 4-10 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 18 9 -
J. Perkins 29 7-14 4-9 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 20 8 -
A. Harper 25 2-12 0-4 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 5 -1 -
D. Garrison 20 2-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Melendez 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 3 3 -
R. Jacobs 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Meyerchick 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter