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UIC Flames

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Also known as: UIC Flames
Program History
Coach: Robert Ehsan

2012 Team Stats (2 games)

66.5
PPG
70.0
Opp
-3.5
Margin
44.9%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
28.5
RPG
9.0
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.8
Adj PPG
68.3
Adj Opp PPG
#285
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 736 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 837 (#281) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 890 (#305) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -7.8 (#282) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -8.8 (#292) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.183 (#301) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.181 (#286) AdjNet -13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.178 (#286) AdjNet -13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.335 (#285) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.337 (#307) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.256 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.256 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 25 More → 813 (#289) RD 167 | GP 25

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 57 - 68
2011-11-16 vs Roosevelt Lakers W 59 - 42
2011-11-19 vs Quincy Hawks L 61 - 65
2011-11-23 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 79 - 75
2011-11-26 @ Toledo Rockets L 67 - 82
2011-12-01 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 68 - 71
2011-12-03 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 71 - 73
2011-12-10 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 62 - 55
2011-12-13 @ Oregon State Beavers L 53 - 95
2011-12-16 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 67 - 70
2011-12-19 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 57 - 56
2011-12-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 57 - 64
2011-12-29 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 63 - 59
2011-12-31 vs Wright State Raiders L 70 - 74
2012-01-05 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 56 - 73
2012-01-07 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 50 - 71
2012-01-14 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 58 - 51
2012-01-19 vs Butler Bulldogs L 49 - 57
2012-01-25 @ Wright State Raiders L 63 - 69
2012-01-27 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 66 - 70
2012-02-05 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 42 - 70
2012-02-14 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 65 - 74
2012-02-18 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 67 - 63
2012-02-21 @ Butler Bulldogs L 44 - 69
2012-02-23 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 61 - 72
2012-02-25 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 63 - 71
2012-02-28 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 55 - 68

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gary Talton Gary Talton G 26 30.3 11.5 3.4 3.4 0.6 0.2 2.9 4.8 11.3 -75 23 -3.3 -4.6 31.5 30.8 88.9 -0.27 109.7 36.3
Darrin Williams Darrin Williams C 26 23.3 10.2 6.4 0.9 0.4 1.4 1.6 3.6 14.1 -45 23 -2.0 -3.5 49.5 0 58.8 0.68 122.7 49.5
Daniel Barnes Daniel Barnes G 26 30.7 10.0 3.0 1.4 1.4 0.3 1.8 4.2 10.2 -114 23 -5.0 -6.7 33.9 35.2 59.3 -0.91 107.5 45.4
J. Miller J. Miller G 1 32.0 10.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 6.0 - - - - 40.0 25.0 100.0 - 47.9 45.0
Hayden Humes Hayden Humes F 26 31.0 8.3 5.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 3.2 11.4 -85 23 -3.7 -5.0 43.4 38.5 80.0 -1.34 117.6 52.4
Marc Brown Marc Brown G 26 26.8 6.6 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.5 2.2 7.8 -72 23 -3.1 -4.8 24.6 13.3 73.9 -0.94 127.4 28.1
Paris Carter Paris Carter F 26 17.7 4.8 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.9 1.7 5.7 -93 23 -4.0 -10.4 53.5 0 71.4 -3.08 113.9 53.5
Greg Travis Greg Travis G 24 17.3 3.9 1.6 2.2 0.8 0.0 1.7 1.3 5.4 -48 19 -2.5 -7.0 37.5 33.3 50.0 -1.17 115.2 39.1
Jerome Brown Jerome Brown - 6 7.2 3.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.8 - - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 137.5 62.5
Sammy Sutter Sammy Sutter G 12 6.8 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 1.1 4 12 0.3 1.9 27.3 33.3 90.0 0.35 53.0 34.1
Rob Robinson Rob Robinson - 11 7.3 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.2 - - - - 41.7 42.9 75.0 - 65.4 54.2
Matt Bush Matt Bush G 24 9.0 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 1.1 -41 19 -2.2 -9.7 22.2 26.7 0.0 -2.82 81.3 33.3
Ahman Fells Ahman Fells F 10 4.6 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 -12 7 -1.7 -17.4 37.5 0.0 0.0 -2.9 65.2 37.5
Will Simonton Will Simonton C 16 6.9 1.0 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.8 -13 14 -0.9 -6.9 16.7 0.0 66.7 -1.1 46.3 16.7
Dorian Tyler Dorian Tyler C 16 5.7 0.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 -19 16 -1.2 -9.7 35.3 16.7 0.0 -2.0 41.9 38.2
Anthony Kelley Anthony Kelley G-F 4 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.8 150.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG