Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.8 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Barnes * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Darrin Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Marc Brown * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Hayden Humes * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Paris Carter | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bush | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Simonton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Travis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Josh Parker | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter