Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | +14.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +21 (71-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Barnes * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Hayden Humes * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Darrin Williams * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Paris Carter * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Marc Brown | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Greg Travis | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Simonton | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rob Robinson | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Tyler | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bush | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ahman Fells | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sammy Sutter | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jerome Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Allen * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Kendrick Perry * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Ashen Ward * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Fletcher Larson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nate Perry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DJ Cole | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danny Reese | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Podolsky | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Cale Zuiker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter