UCF - 2018 | Sports Data

2018 Team Stats (7 games)

58.6

PPG

65.7

Opp

-8.7

Margin

39.7%

FG%

33.6%

3P%

55.9%

FT%

34.6

RPG

10.7

APG

13.6

TO

74.3

Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1558 (#36)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1461 (#54)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More →	+32.3 (#73)	HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.115 (#90)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -20.4 More →	0.074 (#79)	NetEff -20.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.9 More →	0.361 (#80)	AdjNet -4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.0 More →	0.357 (#81)	AdjNet -5.0

2018 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2017-11-23	@	Nebraska Cornhuskers	W	68 - 59
2017-12-03	@	Alabama Crimson Tide	W	65 - 62
2017-12-27	@	SMU Mustangs	L	51 - 56
2018-01-10	@	UConn Huskies	L	53 - 62
2018-01-16	vs	Cincinnati Bearcats	L	38 - 49
2018-01-25	@	Wichita State Shockers	L	62 - 81
2018-02-06	@	Cincinnati Bearcats	L	40 - 77
2018-03-01	vs	Wichita State Shockers	L	71 - 75
2018-03-08	vs	East Carolina Pirates	W	66 - 52
2018-03-09	@	Houston Cougars	L	56 - 84

2018 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
B.J. Taylor	G	6	29.0	13.0	1.5	2.8	0.2	0.0	1.2	13.0	3.3	9	0.7	1.0	35.9	34.6	54.2	1.05	44.0	41.7
A.J. Davis	F	10	32.2	10.0	6.1	3.0	1.3	0.1	2.3	6.8	11.4	83	9.2	14.3	35.3	35.7	65.1	1.21	57.5	42.6
C. DeJesus	G	10	28.3	9.0	2.2	1.8	0.3	0.0	2.0	6.1	5.2	-	-	-	41.0	50.0	56.0	-	62.5	44.3
Tacko Fall	-	5	23.2	8.2	6.0	0.0	0.4	1.8	2.6	3.0	10.8	-	-	-	73.3	0	40.0	-	119.2	73.3
D. Griffin	G	10	27.0	7.3	3.6	1.2	0.9	0.1	1.4	5.9	5.8	-	-	-	33.9	32.5	55.6	-	58.0	44.9
T. Allen	G	10	29.2	6.3	3.3	1.9	1.0	0.0	2.2	3.9	6.4	-	-	-	41.0	25.0	66.7	-	67.1	43.6
C. Brown	F	10	18.6	4.8	4.5	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.8	2.7	7.0	26	2.0	2.2	55.6	0	35.0	1.01	67.0	55.6
D. Mumin	G	10	12.2	3.4	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.9	2.0	-	-	-	47.4	44.4	100.0	-	85.5	68.4
C. McSpadden	G	4	19.0	3.0	4.8	0.2	0.8	0.0	2.5	4.2	2.0	-	-	-	23.5	0.0	80.0	-	31.2	23.5
R. Ulvydas	F	6	16.0	2.0	3.2	0.2	0.2	1.0	0.3	1.8	4.3	-	-	-	45.5	0	33.3	-	44.0	45.5
M. Douglas	F	10	7.9	1.9	1.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6	2.0	0.7	-	-	-	20.0	20.0	58.3	-	37.6	25.0
N. Laing	G	5	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG