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UCF Knights 51
@
SMU Mustangs 56
2017-12-27

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% - ✗
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - ✓

Actual: SMU Mustangs +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Allen * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 5 11 -
A.J. Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 16 -
C. DeJesus * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 9 9 -
T. Fall * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 6 10 -
D. Mumin * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Griffin 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 1 1 12 21 -
C. Brown 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 7 15 -
C. McSpadden 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
N. Laing 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Douglas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Milton * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 1 2 14 26 -
B. Emelogu II * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 3 1 2 5 20 -
J. Foster * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 3 2 14 25 -
E. Chargois * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 3 9 16 -
J. Whitt Jr. * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
J. McMurray 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 13 -
A. Agau 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
W. Douglas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter