Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Morris * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Shamet * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| A. Reaves * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Z. Brown * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Frankamp | 35 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. McDuffie | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Willis Jr. | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Nurger | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Keyser | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 43 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 7-11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 31 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 42 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 7 | - |
| C. DeJesus * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Brown * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Mumin * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Griffin | 31 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Ulvydas | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Allen | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Douglas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Laing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter