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2018-01-25

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% +13.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +19 (81-62). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Taylor * 33 4-15 1-3 3-4 1 5 0 0 1 12 2 -
Ceasar DeJesus * 25 3-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Chad Brown * 24 3-5 0-0 1-5 7 0 2 2 0 7 13 -
A.J. Davis * 24 3-7 2-5 1-2 7 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
Terrell Allen * 23 1-4 0-2 4-6 6 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
Dayon Griffin 33 5-13 3-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 15 8 -
Rokas Ulvydas 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Djordjije Mumin 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Myles Douglas 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Shamet * 28 2-9 0-6 0-2 4 6 0 0 1 4 4 -
Austin Reaves * 26 2-3 0-0 5-6 6 3 0 2 1 9 16 -
Rashard Kelly * 17 2-6 0-0 4-5 10 0 1 0 0 8 13 -
Rauno Nurger * 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
Markis McDuffie * 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Darral Willis Jr. 23 4-10 0-2 4-7 9 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
Conner Frankamp 22 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
Shaquille Morris 21 8-10 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 1 1 19 17 -
Zach Brown 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
Samajae Haynes-Jones 13 1-5 1-1 4-4 1 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
C.J. Keyser 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter