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UCF

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Donnie Jones

2015 Team Stats (3 games)

72.0
PPG
70.3
Opp
+1.7
Margin
50.3%
FG%
43.6%
3P%
63.0%
FT%
33.0
RPG
16.3
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.6
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#278
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 854 (#270) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 896 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 892 (#312) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -6.3 (#271) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -7.5 (#291) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.252 (#290) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.2 More → 0.304 (#240) AdjNet -7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.2 More → 0.303 (#240) AdjNet -7.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.362 (#278) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.343 (#315) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#275) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.317 (#280) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 29 More → 916 (#238) RD 134 | GP 29

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-16 vs Stetson Hatters W 64 - 55
2014-11-20 vs Eckerd Tritons W 76 - 59
2014-11-23 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 76 - 69
2014-11-26 vs Davidson Wildcats L 69 - 95
2014-11-30 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 75 - 67
2014-12-02 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 61 - 59
2014-12-06 @ Florida State Seminoles L 73 - 96
2014-12-11 @ UIC Flames L 60 - 71
2014-12-13 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 41 - 54
2014-12-17 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 75 - 70
2014-12-22 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 70 - 65
2014-12-31 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 54 - 56
2015-01-04 @ Temple Owls L 78 - 84
2015-01-06 @ Houston Cougars W 79 - 78
2015-01-11 vs SMU Mustangs L 61 - 70
2015-01-14 vs Tulane Green Wave W 103 - 100
2015-01-17 @ Memphis Tigers L 79 - 99
2015-01-22 @ UConn Huskies L 60 - 67
2015-01-25 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 46 - 56
2015-01-28 vs Temple Owls L 62 - 86
2015-01-31 @ SMU Mustangs L 56 - 75
2015-02-07 @ East Carolina Pirates L 49 - 67
2015-02-11 vs South Florida Bulls W 73 - 62
2015-02-15 vs Houston Cougars W 56 - 54
2015-02-19 @ Tulane Green Wave W 69 - 55
2015-02-22 vs Memphis Tigers L 65 - 75
2015-02-25 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 60 - 83
2015-02-28 vs East Carolina Pirates L 66 - 71
2015-03-04 @ South Florida Bulls L 45 - 74
2015-03-12 @ East Carolina Pirates L 80 - 81

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B.J. Taylor B.J. Taylor G 21 32.7 12.8 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.0 1.1 3.2 14.5 -105 18 -5.8 -7.7 34.3 27.3 63.3 0.36 167.1 41.0
Adonys Henriquez Adonys Henriquez G 25 35.8 11.1 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 1.6 2.6 13.5 -170 21 -8.1 -10.0 50.8 46.8 72.2 -1.36 189.9 67.7
Brandon Goodwin Brandon Goodwin G 25 33.5 10.4 3.8 4.0 1.2 0.2 3.0 3.0 13.6 -150 21 -7.1 -9.4 38.7 23.1 69.2 -1.57 150.4 42.7
Daiquan Walker Daiquan Walker G 25 24.3 7.9 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 1.7 2.4 8.4 -120 21 -5.7 -10.8 35.6 28.6 100.0 -1.99 162.9 42.4
Staphon Blair Staphon Blair F 25 24.6 7.7 5.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.5 11.4 -142 21 -6.8 -12.0 63.2 0 61.1 -1.31 210.1 63.2
Kasey Wilson Kasey Wilson F 24 23.4 7.4 4.9 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.5 11.1 -132 20 -6.6 -13.1 44.4 33.3 70.0 -2.54 220.3 52.8
Justin McBride Justin McBride C 25 14.4 6.5 4.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.3 10.0 -22 21 -1.0 -3.1 59.4 0 61.5 0.86 216.1 59.4
Matt Williams Matt Williams G 1 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shaheed Davis Shaheed Davis F 20 13.2 4.0 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.0 5.5 -44 18 -2.4 -7.6 45.0 62.5 70.0 -0.96 161.9 57.5
Dylan Karell Dylan Karell F 25 9.6 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.6 -29 19 -1.5 -6.3 66.7 0 62.5 -0.71 123.8 66.7
Myles Davis Myles Davis G 14 4.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 -6 13 -0.5 -4.8 20.0 0.0 0.0 -0.76 91.9 20.0
Djordjije Mumin Djordjije Mumin G 5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.66 0.0 0.0
Marshall Holmes Marshall Holmes - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG