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Towson

2005 Team Stats (1 games)

56.0
PPG
76.0
Opp
-20.0
Margin
31.3%
FG%
23.8%
3P%
55.0%
FT%
38.0
RPG
12.0
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.8
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#281
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 685 (#322) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 733 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More โ†’ 815 (#325) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -9.5 (#278) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -10.9 (#298) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.199 (#295) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More โ†’ 0.156 (#281) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.7 More โ†’ 0.154 (#281) AdjNet -14.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 69.8 More โ†’ 0.308 (#281) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.316 (#308) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.195 (#309) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.196 (#310) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 29 More โ†’ 699 (#315) RD 154 | GP 29

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-15 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 53 - 74
2004-11-16 vs Morgan State Bears W 71 - 69
2004-11-19 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 69 - 58
2004-11-27 @ Morgan State Bears L 51 - 54
2004-11-29 vs Charleston Cougars L 58 - 78
2004-12-01 @ George Mason Patriots L 61 - 79
2004-12-04 @ UMBC Retrievers L 61 - 63
2004-12-08 vs American University Eagles L 64 - 75
2004-12-11 @ VMI Keydets W 84 - 69
2004-12-18 @ George Washington Colonials L 69 - 85
2004-12-29 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 61 - 64
2005-01-05 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 86 - 66
2005-01-07 vs VCU Rams L 58 - 70
2005-01-12 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 56 - 65
2005-01-15 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 59 - 77
2005-01-19 vs James Madison Dukes W 86 - 69
2005-01-22 @ Drexel Dragons L 55 - 76
2005-01-26 @ William & Mary Tribe L 65 - 83
2005-01-29 vs Hofstra Pride L 64 - 84
2005-01-31 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 57 - 61
2005-02-02 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 59 - 70
2005-02-05 @ VCU Rams L 61 - 84
2005-02-09 vs George Mason Patriots L 57 - 62
2005-02-12 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 55 - 65
2005-02-16 @ Hofstra Pride L 59 - 68
2005-02-23 @ James Madison Dukes L 58 - 68
2005-02-26 vs William & Mary Tribe L 50 - 57
2005-02-28 vs Drexel Dragons L 60 - 66
2005-03-04 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 56 - 76

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.