Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +17 (86-69). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Belfor | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 13-18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Barbosa | 38 | 8-21 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | - |
| G. Chami | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Cavell Johnson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Clarke | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Naparlo | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Cathlin | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Greene-Long | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Goodman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. McGraw | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| U. Kossekpa | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Green | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Fletcher | 32 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 11-13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| L. Cotton | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Pease | 28 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| H. Plack | 22 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| W. Tubbs | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Goode | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. McCartney | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Raboin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Dublin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Barb | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter