Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jackson | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Cotton | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Green | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| H. Plack | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| W. Tubbs | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Fletcher | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Pease | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Dixon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. McCartney | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Raboin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gogerty | 39 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Zito | 29 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Feeley | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Knight | 26 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Davis | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Gaskin | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Hodges | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Pugh | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Housman | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter