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Texas Tech

Also known as: Texas Tech Red Raiders, Texas Tech
Program History

2012 Team Stats (7 games)

51.4
PPG
75.3
Opp
-23.9
Margin
40.4%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
65.7%
FT%
24.9
RPG
10.6
APG
17.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.4
Adj PPG
63.6
Adj Opp PPG
#219
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 951 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 887 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 852 (#332) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.9 (#214) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -5.6 (#256) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.169 (#306) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More โ†’ 0.345 (#223) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More โ†’ 0.344 (#223) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.428 (#219) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.332 (#309) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.340 (#254) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.322 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 28 More โ†’ 885 (#241) RD 145 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Troy Trojans W 90 - 85
2011-11-16 vs North Texas Mean Green W 69 - 64
2011-11-20 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 66 - 54
2011-11-24 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 49 - 60
2011-11-25 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 70 - 76
2011-11-27 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 61 - 70
2011-12-01 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 61 - 54
2011-12-06 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 69 - 75
2011-12-18 vs Grambling Tigers W 87 - 59
2011-12-22 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 56 - 72
2011-12-27 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 74 - 58
2011-12-30 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 62 - 54
2012-01-04 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 59 - 67
2012-01-07 vs Baylor Bears L 60 - 73
2012-01-11 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 46 - 81
2012-01-14 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 54 - 67
2012-01-17 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 55 - 64
2012-01-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 47 - 69
2012-01-28 @ Missouri Tigers L 50 - 63
2012-02-04 @ Texas Longhorns L 57 - 74
2012-02-07 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 46 - 65
2012-02-14 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 38 - 47
2012-02-18 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 50 - 83
2012-02-22 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 54 - 72
2012-02-25 vs Texas Longhorns L 67 - 71
2012-02-27 @ Baylor Bears L 48 - 77
2012-03-03 vs Missouri Tigers L 59 - 81
2012-03-07 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 60 - 76

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Tolbert Jordan Tolbert F 27 24.7 12.0 5.9 0.7 0.4 0.7 2.7 3.2 13.8 -53 24 -2.2 -4.0 36.8 0.0 73.8 3.5 140.6 36.8
Jaye Crockett Jaye Crockett F 26 25.8 9.2 5.7 1.2 0.8 0.7 2.5 3.8 11.4 -172 24 -7.2 -13.9 48.0 40.0 78.0 -3.85 103.4 50.0
Ty Nurse Ty Nurse G 26 29.8 8.6 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.9 2.7 8.2 -115 23 -5.0 -7.6 37.1 33.3 86.4 0.13 139.9 48.6
Javarez Willis Javarez Willis G 27 29.0 7.9 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 2.2 2.7 8.0 -158 24 -6.6 -9.9 37.5 28.6 87.5 -3.07 135.4 45.8
Toddrick Gotcher Toddrick Gotcher G 8 30.1 7.6 3.8 2.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.0 12.5 5 6 0.8 1.1 62.5 100.0 0 1.33 381.2 75.0
Robert Lewandowski Robert Lewandowski F 27 22.4 5.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.1 7.1 -87 24 -3.6 -6.9 36.8 0.0 83.3 -0.84 126.0 36.8
Luke Adams Luke Adams G 20 19.4 4.3 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.0 1.6 1.9 3.9 -42 17 -2.5 -5.8 39.5 50.0 90.0 1.74 102.6 55.3
Clark Lammert Clark Lammert F 15 9.9 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 4.1 -18 15 -1.2 -6.4 58.3 50.0 75.0 -0.15 118.2 70.8
Biggie Minnis Biggie Minnis G 23 15.7 3.0 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.1 1.4 4.0 -64 21 -3.0 -9.3 31.2 0.0 68.4 0.53 85.5 31.2
Jaron Nash Jaron Nash F 22 10.0 3.0 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.6 3.9 -79 20 -4.0 -18.3 35.7 0.0 23.1 -4.67 167.3 35.7
Terran Petteway Terran Petteway F 24 14.2 3.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.1 4.1 -63 22 -2.9 -10.4 25.9 28.6 41.7 0.81 113.1 33.3
Kevin Wagner Kevin Wagner G 15 14.9 2.3 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.7 2.5 -59 13 -4.5 -14.2 28.0 66.7 62.5 -4.52 59.6 32.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG