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Tennessee State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Brian Collins

2020 Team Stats (1 games)

82.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
+10.0
Margin
48.2%
FG%
57.9%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
35.0
RPG
15.0
APG
20.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#243
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 895 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 955 (#211) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 981 (#210) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -5.5 (#243) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -7.5 (#289) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.449 (#212) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.6 More → 0.270 (#247) AdjNet -8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.7 More → 0.269 (#246) AdjNet -8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.392 (#243) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.405 (#270) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.372 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 31 More → 933 (#217) RD 88 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 106 - 66
2019-11-09 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 57 - 59
2019-11-12 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 79 - 78
2019-11-18 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 99 - 65
2019-11-21 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 57 - 72
2019-11-25 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 49 - 62
2019-11-28 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 82 - 72
2019-11-29 vs North Florida Ospreys W 81 - 73
2019-12-06 vs Chicago State Cougars W 80 - 74
2019-12-10 @ Little Rock Trojans L 62 - 86
2019-12-15 @ Fordham Rams W 66 - 61
2019-12-18 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 72 - 78
2019-12-21 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 86 - 71
2020-01-02 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 84 - 79
2020-01-04 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 79 - 74
2020-01-09 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 74 - 87
2020-01-11 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 75 - 73
2020-01-16 vs Morehead State Eagles W 64 - 48
2020-01-18 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 88 - 92
2020-01-23 @ Austin Peay Governors L 74 - 99
2020-01-25 @ Murray State Racers L 64 - 76
2020-01-30 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 72 - 62
2020-02-01 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 72 - 67
2020-02-06 vs Austin Peay Governors W 70 - 68
2020-02-08 vs Murray State Racers L 65 - 73
2020-02-13 @ Belmont Bruins L 51 - 74
2020-02-15 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 70 - 55
2020-02-20 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 62 - 83
2020-02-22 @ Morehead State Eagles L 63 - 66
2020-02-27 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 65 - 55
2020-02-29 vs Belmont Bruins L 65 - 72
2020-03-04 vs Morehead State Eagles W 74 - 67
2020-03-05 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 48 - 58

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jr. Clay Jr. Clay - 2 33.5 18.5 7.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 3.5 0.0 27.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mark Freeman Mark Freeman G 1 25.0 16.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 11.0 -54 22 -2.5 -3.7 71.4 100.0 80.0 -1.69 87.0 85.7
Carlos Marshall Jr. Carlos Marshall Jr. - 28 29.2 11.7 4.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 2.4 2.3 14.5 8 22 0.4 0.5 32.8 15.4 70.6 0.49 229.4 35.9
Michael Littlejohn Michael Littlejohn G 29 30.8 10.8 2.2 3.5 1.3 0.1 2.8 2.9 12.2 -12 23 -0.5 -0.7 41.7 44.4 90.0 0.54 176.5 56.0
Jy'lan Washington Jy'lan Washington F 23 22.8 10.2 5.2 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.8 1.2 15.0 10 18 0.6 1.0 53.6 57.1 87.0 -0.37 306.9 67.9
Shakem Johnson Shakem Johnson F 29 22.6 8.5 5.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.7 1.1 13.0 -2 23 -0.1 -0.2 68.8 0 55.6 0.25 342.0 68.8
Emmanuel Egbuta Emmanuel Egbuta F 29 13.6 6.6 3.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 9.1 -28 24 -1.2 -3.9 45.9 0.0 50.0 -0.63 218.0 45.9
Ben Kone Ben Kone ATH 21 13.1 4.1 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 7.1 -49 19 -2.6 -9.1 43.8 0.0 71.4 -2.41 228.0 43.8
Monty Johal Monty Johal G 4 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 5.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jon Brown Jon Brown G 29 13.1 3.2 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.4 0.6 5.1 -52 24 -2.2 -6.7 47.1 50.0 50.0 -3.35 250.5 52.9
Ravel Moody Ravel Moody G 19 12.6 3.1 2.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 6.2 -21 14 -1.5 -6.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 -2.89 428.8 16.7
Wesley Harris Wesley Harris G 1 28.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 -21 19 -1.1 -1.5 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.62 54.3 0.0
Donnie Malone Donnie Malone - 17 4.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 511.4 0
Bellinger, Ej Bellinger, Ej - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ben Kone Ben Kone - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Samone Nelson Samone Nelson - 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG