Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Josiah Wallace * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 39 | - |
| JaQualis Matlock * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Kashawn Charles * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Johnson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Shareef Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dondre Duffus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Braxton Shaw | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Littlejohn * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Carlos Marshall * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Shakem Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jy'lan Washington | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Emmanuel Egbuta | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jon Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ravel Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter