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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers Eastern Kentucky Colonels Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“

Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +10 (58-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Littlejohn * 34 3-12 1-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 10 7 -12 -
Carlos Marshall * 29 3-9 0-5 5-6 6 0 0 0 5 11 3 -
Shakem Johnson * 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
Ravel Moody 26 1-4 0-3 1-2 5 0 3 2 1 3 8 -
Emmanuel Egbuta 17 3-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 3 9 6 -
Ben Kone 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
Jon Brown 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Donnie Malone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Taylor II * 34 4-11 2-6 1-3 1 2 3 0 1 11 5 -
M. Moreno * 31 3-10 2-4 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
J. Brown * 30 3-10 2-4 4-4 4 1 1 0 5 12 3 -
T. King * 27 2-7 0-0 5-7 7 1 4 1 1 9 14 -
R. Cruickshank * 25 1-5 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Hobbs 24 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 5 1 4 5 5 -
L. Anderson 15 1-4 0-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 4 7 -
Tariq Balogun 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Cooper 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Carmical 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter