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Tarleton State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2006
Also known as: Tarleton Texans
Program History
Coach: Billy Gillispie

2022 Team Stats (30 games)

63.9
PPG
64.6
Opp
-0.6
Margin
42.0%
FG%
30.3%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
30.4
RPG
11.3
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.8
Adj PPG
65.1
Adj Opp PPG
#207
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 877 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 970 (#218) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.3 (#204) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -4.3 (#236) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.383 (#239) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.379 (#218) AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More → 0.387 (#212) AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.449 (#207) AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 65.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.439 (#238) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.421 (#219) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.419 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 28 More → 941 (#220) RD 152 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Stanford Cardinal L 50 - 62
2021-11-12 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 88
2021-11-16 @ Wichita State Shockers L 51 - 65
2021-11-19 vs Paul Quinn Tigers W 69 - 42
2021-11-22 @ North Dakota State Bison L 53 - 54
2021-11-24 @ Michigan Wolverines L 54 - 65
2021-11-29 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 55 - 64
2021-12-05 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 57 - 59
2021-12-07 vs Dallas Christian Crusaders W 84 - 65
2021-12-08 vs Nelson (TX) Lions W 81 - 75
2021-12-14 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 62 - 69
2021-12-17 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 65 - 52
2021-12-21 vs Air Force Falcons W 67 - 45
2021-12-30 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers W 83 - 69
2022-01-01 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 55 - 77
2022-01-06 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 75 - 64
2022-01-08 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 77 - 71
2022-01-13 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 57 - 73
2022-01-15 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 59 - 80
2022-01-20 vs California Baptist Lancers L 84 - 88
2022-01-22 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 68 - 76
2022-01-26 @ Lamar Cardinals W 62 - 57
2022-01-29 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 79 - 64
2022-02-05 vs Chicago State Cougars W 57 - 54
2022-02-12 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 63 - 77
2022-02-16 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 56 - 69
2022-02-19 @ Chicago State Cougars W 79 - 60
2022-02-24 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 75 - 62
2022-02-26 vs Lamar Cardinals W 57 - 49
2022-03-03 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 50 - 69
2022-03-05 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 56 - 61

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Montre' Gipson Montre' Gipson G 30 36.2 15.0 4.9 3.2 1.4 0.1 2.0 12.8 9.8 -31 26 -1.2 -1.3 43.1 31.7 77.5 1.37 52.3 48.2
Tahj Small Tahj Small G 28 33.3 13.4 5.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 2.4 11.7 7.5 -18 24 -0.8 -0.9 42.5 29.4 79.7 1.23 52.0 47.9
Freddy Hicks Freddy Hicks G 30 31.2 12.6 5.2 1.7 0.9 0.6 1.5 9.3 10.2 15 26 0.6 0.7 42.4 29.3 77.5 0.55 54.7 46.8
Jonathan Jackson Jonathan Jackson F 1 31.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 - - - - 57.1 0.0 0.0 - 53.8 57.1
Shamir Bogues Shamir Bogues G 30 29.2 7.2 3.6 1.8 1.8 0.6 1.2 6.6 7.3 -49 26 -1.9 -2.5 47.0 24.2 62.2 -2.61 50.6 49.0
Noah McDavid Noah McDavid G 30 23.9 5.9 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 5.0 3.6 26 26 1.0 1.5 35.8 37.2 92.7 0.98 52.7 46.4
Shakur Daniel Shakur Daniel G 17 32.3 5.2 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.2 1.9 4.7 5.4 -50 12 -4.2 -5.2 35.0 31.2 68.3 -1.32 45.4 38.1
Javontae Hopkins Javontae Hopkins G 30 14.7 3.8 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.1 -84 26 -3.2 -8.2 48.3 27.3 66.7 -3.23 54.2 50.0
Cameron Jernigan Cameron Jernigan F 3 7.0 3.7 3.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.7 4.3 - - - - 60.0 0 62.5 -1.16 64.6 60.0
Jayshawn Moore Jayshawn Moore G 24 8.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.7 -50 21 -2.4 -11.3 41.7 0.0 61.9 -3.39 47.5 41.7
Jalen Jack Jalen Jack F 7 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.4 - - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
Bryce Brown Bryce Brown F 15 3.0 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 -20 12 -1.7 -26.2 38.5 0 80.0 -3.18 51.7 38.5
Jaheim Holden Jaheim Holden G 12 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.8 1.1 - - - - 33.3 25.0 60.0 - 44.6 38.9
Luke Winslow Luke Winslow G 15 4.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 -16 9 -1.8 -19.8 18.8 23.1 0 -3.06 28.1 28.1
Kylon Owens Kylon Owens F 14 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 -15 10 -1.5 -22.6 27.3 0 50.0 -2.62 29.5 27.3
Garrett Levesque Garrett Levesque G 8 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 - - - - 0.0 0 60.0 - 28.8 0.0
Joey Madimba Joey Madimba G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hassan Perkins Hassan Perkins G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Stefan Bryant Stefan Bryant G 3 1.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

196 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Small25% Bogues50% Hicks100% Small100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Gipson27% Gipson33% Gipson100% Moore50% Small60% Hicks50% Small67% Hicks25% Holden100%
Misses: who misses most here

Tahj SmallFreddy HicksMontre' GipsonShamir BoguesJayshawn MooreJaheim Holden

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 80-166 48.2 160 Tahj Small 25% (40 pts) Montre' Gipson 22% (36 pts) Montre' Gipson 27% (23 misses) Tahj Small 22% (19 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 4-10 40.0 8 Shamir Bogues 50% (4 pts) Tahj Small 50% (4 pts) Montre' Gipson 33% (2 misses) Tahj Small 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 1-2 50.0 2 Freddy Hicks 100% (2 pts) - Montre' Gipson 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Jayshawn Moore 50% (1 misses) Montre' Gipson 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Tahj Small 100% (2 pts) - Tahj Small 60% (3 misses) Luke Winslow 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Freddy Hicks 50% (1 misses) Tahj Small 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Tahj Small 67% (2 misses) Noah McDavid 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-4 0.0 0 - - Freddy Hicks 25% (1 misses) Montre' Gipson 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Jaheim Holden 100% (1 misses) -