Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | +10.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +5 (61-56). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montre' Gipson * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Shamir Bogues * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tahj Small * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Noah McDavid * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Freddy Hicks * | 16 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Shakur Daniel | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Javontae Hopkins | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jayshawn Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Coryon Mason * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mahki Morris * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Airion Simmons * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Cameron * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Damien Daniels | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Steele | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Allen | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ja'Sean Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Yuot Gai | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Furaha Cadeaux de Dieu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stevie Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter