Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | -0.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +13 (65-52). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Anderson * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kayo Goncalves * | 38 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Diante Smith * | 38 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Chandler * | 31 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Ja'von Franklin * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamal West | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Hicks * | 40 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shakur Daniel * | 40 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Montre' Gipson * | 39 | 10-20 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Tahj Small * | 39 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Shamir Bogues * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Noah McDavid | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Javontae Hopkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jayshawn Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaheim Holden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter