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TCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History
Coach: Jamie Dixon

2023 Team Stats (35 games)

75.3
PPG
68.4
Opp
+6.8
Margin
45.3%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
69.9%
FT%
35.8
RPG
16.1
APG
11.9
TO
70.3
Est. poss./game
76.6
Adj PPG
63.5
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1280 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More → 1048 (#103) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +14.3 (#20) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +13.4 (#22) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.749 (#45) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.6 More → 0.749 (#45) NetEff +9.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.0 More → 0.918 (#22) AdjNet +21.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.1 More → 0.920 (#22) AdjNet +21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.767 (#21) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 66.3 More → 0.670 (#35) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.805 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.790 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 35 More → 1237 (#31) RD 102 | GP 35

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 73 - 72
2022-11-11 vs Lamar Cardinals W 77 - 66
2022-11-14 vs Northwestern State Demons L 63 - 64
2022-11-17 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 95 - 60
2022-11-25 vs California Golden Bears W 59 - 48
2022-11-26 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 79 - 66
2022-11-30 vs Providence Friars W 75 - 62
2022-12-06 vs Jackson State Tigers W 78 - 51
2022-12-10 @ SMU Mustangs W 83 - 75
2022-12-18 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 88 - 43
2022-12-21 @ Utah Utes W 75 - 71
2022-12-28 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 103 - 57
2022-12-31 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 67 - 61
2023-01-04 @ Baylor Bears W 88 - 87
2023-01-07 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 67 - 69
2023-01-11 @ Texas Longhorns L 75 - 79
2023-01-14 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 68
2023-01-18 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 65 - 74
2023-01-21 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 83 - 60
2023-01-24 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 79 - 52
2023-01-28 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 74 - 81
2023-01-31 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 76 - 72
2023-02-04 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 73 - 79
2023-02-07 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 61 - 82
2023-02-11 vs Baylor Bears L 68 - 72
2023-02-15 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 59 - 70
2023-02-18 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 100 - 75
2023-02-20 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 58 - 63
2023-02-25 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 83 - 82
2023-03-01 vs Texas Longhorns W 75 - 73
2023-03-04 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 60 - 74
2023-03-09 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 80 - 67
2023-03-10 @ Texas Longhorns L 60 - 66
2023-03-17 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 72 - 70
2023-03-19 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 81 - 84

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mike Miles Mike Miles - 27 32.0 17.9 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.3 2.6 11.8 10.4 146 26 5.6 7.1 49.7 36.2 74.9 3.61 61.3 55.7
Damion Baugh Damion Baugh - 29 35.0 12.6 4.7 5.8 1.8 0.3 2.8 10.2 12.2 85 28 3.0 3.5 43.1 33.0 70.7 3.12 52.7 48.0
Emanuel Miller Emanuel Miller - 32 29.7 12.3 6.5 1.7 0.9 0.9 1.8 10.2 10.4 76 31 2.5 3.3 50.5 39.2 65.2 -0.42 55.3 53.5
Jakobe Coles Jakobe Coles F 35 16.7 8.6 4.0 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 6.6 7.7 139 34 4.1 9.8 47.6 32.4 79.5 4.3 57.0 52.4
Chuck O'Bannon Jr. Chuck O'Bannon Jr. - 35 21.9 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.6 6.6 6.7 226 34 6.6 12.3 38.1 31.1 75.0 3.87 51.6 47.0
Micah Peavy Micah Peavy - 30 21.1 7.0 3.1 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.1 6.9 5.1 30 29 1.0 2.0 37.7 26.7 64.4 -1.97 45.1 41.5
Eddie Lampkin Jr. Eddie Lampkin Jr. C 24 21.8 6.3 5.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.5 4.9 8.2 177 24 7.4 13.7 54.7 0 55.8 2.31 55.9 54.7
Shahada Wells Shahada Wells - 35 17.3 5.9 2.2 2.3 1.1 0.2 1.1 5.2 5.4 132 34 3.9 9.1 44.3 24.4 71.4 1.61 51.9 49.5
Xavier Cork Xavier Cork - 35 15.0 4.4 2.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 4.9 -49 34 -1.4 -3.9 57.7 0 57.6 -2.64 59.2 57.7
PJ Haggerty PJ Haggerty G 6 8.8 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.5 3.3 26 6 4.3 19.5 55.6 0.0 77.8 -0.16 65.6 55.6
Rondel Walker Rondel Walker - 30 12.4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 2.4 2.0 19 29 0.7 2.1 27.4 23.9 55.6 -2.34 36.4 34.9
Souleymane Doumbia Souleymane Doumbia - 21 4.1 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 41 20 2.0 21.4 38.9 0 66.7 1.29 43.6 38.9
Cole Despie Cole Despie - 5 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.2 - - - - 25.0 50.0 0 -1.17 37.5 37.5
Tyler Lundblade Tyler Lundblade G 9 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 12 7 1.7 21.6 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.33 25.5 20.0
Darius Ford Darius Ford G 6 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.34 25.8 0.0
Trey Stuart Trey Stuart G 6 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.17 0.0 0.0
Zach Gonsoulin Zach Gonsoulin G 6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.17 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022-2023 Shot Zones

928 located field-goal attempts in 15 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miller17% Baugh29% O'Bannon33% Baugh100% Miles25% Baugh27% Baugh56% Miles40% Miles27% O'Bannon27%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Miller23% Miller21% Miles26% Miller44% Baugh31% O'Bannon26% Baugh40% Baugh20% Miles25% Wells21%
Misses: who misses most here

Damion BaughMike MilesEmanuel MillerChuck O'Bannon Jr.Shahada Wells

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 237-360 65.8 474 Emanuel Miller 17% (82 pts) Jakobe Coles 16% (78 pts) Emanuel Miller 23% (28 misses) Damion Baugh 15% (19 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 48-151 31.8 96 Damion Baugh 29% (28 pts) Emanuel Miller 25% (24 pts) Emanuel Miller 21% (22 misses) Damion Baugh 17% (17 misses)
Mid-range left 15-58 25.9 30 Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 33% (10 pts) Mike Miles 27% (8 pts) Mike Miles 26% (11 misses) Damion Baugh 21% (9 misses)
Mid-range center 1-17 5.9 2 Damion Baugh 100% (2 pts) - Emanuel Miller 44% (7 misses) Jakobe Coles 19% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 24-66 36.4 48 Mike Miles 25% (12 pts) Emanuel Miller 21% (10 pts) Damion Baugh 31% (13 misses) Emanuel Miller 17% (7 misses)
Left corner 3 11-38 28.9 33 Damion Baugh 27% (9 pts) Mike Miles 27% (9 pts) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 26% (7 misses) Jakobe Coles 15% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 9-19 47.4 27 Damion Baugh 56% (15 pts) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 22% (6 pts) Damion Baugh 40% (4 misses) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 10% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 20-85 23.5 60 Mike Miles 40% (24 pts) Micah Peavy 20% (12 pts) Damion Baugh 20% (13 misses) Mike Miles 17% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 center 11-43 25.6 33 Mike Miles 27% (9 pts) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 18% (6 pts) Mike Miles 25% (8 misses) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 19% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 right 33-91 36.3 99 Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 27% (27 pts) Mike Miles 18% (18 pts) Shahada Wells 21% (12 misses) Chuck O'Bannon Jr. 19% (11 misses)