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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Log Adjusted 95.0% 5.0% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Miles Jr. 34 5-10 2-4 6-8 3 2 4 0 2 18 15 -
D. Baugh 34 4-8 0-0 1-4 7 6 0 0 2 9 12 -
E. Lampkin Jr. 28 5-9 0-0 1-3 8 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
M. Peavy 26 4-11 0-2 3-4 5 1 0 2 1 11 7 -
C. O'Bannon Jr. 25 2-6 2-4 4-5 7 2 0 0 0 10 13 -
E. Miller 22 5-7 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
S. Wells 12 2-4 1-1 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Coles 9 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
X. Cork 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Doumbia 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Nutall 33 7-20 1-7 5-6 3 1 1 0 3 20 2 -
Z. Phelps 31 9-23 0-4 1-2 5 3 1 0 2 19 3 -
S. Williamson 26 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 9 7 -
E. Odigie 26 4-8 0-0 5-6 11 1 1 1 0 13 19 -
J. Smith 19 2-4 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
S. Todorovic 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 3 -
R. Wright 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Mo Njie 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
E. Lanier 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Koulibaly 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter