Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | -11.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.5% | 9.5% | -12.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (75-83). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miles * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Lampkin Jr. * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Micah Peavy * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chuck O'Bannon Jr. * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Emanuel Miller | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shahada Wells | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| JaKobe Coles | 9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Cork | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Souleymane Doumbia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rondel Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Nutall * | 33 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 31 | 9-23 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mo Njie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter