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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2007 Team Stats (3 games)

58.0
PPG
71.7
Opp
-13.7
Margin
42.3%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
60.9%
FT%
25.0
RPG
13.3
APG
14.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.2
Adj PPG
64.1
Adj Opp PPG
#186
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1000 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 966 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 937 (#254) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -1.7 (#178) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +1.6 (#142) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.342 (#233) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.460 (#161) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More โ†’ 0.458 (#162) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.456 (#186) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.469 (#186) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.467 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.470 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1021 (#149) RD 133 | GP 30

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-11 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 72 - 66
2006-11-14 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 59 - 53
2006-11-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 97 - 89
2006-11-21 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 53 - 74
2006-11-24 vs Grambling Tigers W 64 - 46
2006-11-29 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 60 - 70
2006-12-02 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 35 - 63
2006-12-06 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 62 - 46
2006-12-09 vs Tulane Green Wave W 53 - 51
2006-12-18 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 73 - 57
2006-12-21 vs SMU Mustangs L 62 - 64
2006-12-27 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 63 - 51
2007-01-03 vs New Mexico Lobos W 64 - 52
2007-01-06 @ Utah Utes W 71 - 68
2007-01-10 @ BYU Cougars L 65 - 89
2007-01-17 vs Colorado State Rams L 54 - 66
2007-01-20 vs UNLV Rebels L 66 - 75
2007-01-23 @ Air Force Falcons L 39 - 72
2007-01-27 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 56 - 71
2007-01-31 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 71 - 76
2007-02-03 vs Utah Utes L 65 - 70
2007-02-07 @ UNLV Rebels L 67 - 82
2007-02-10 vs BYU Cougars L 72 - 85
2007-02-13 @ Colorado State Rams L 66 - 82
2007-02-17 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 74
2007-02-24 vs Air Force Falcons W 71 - 66
2007-02-28 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 77 - 58
2007-03-03 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 51 - 56
2007-03-06 vs New Mexico Lobos W 62 - 54
2007-03-08 @ BYU Cougars L 64 - 77

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.