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Air Force Falcons 66
@
TCU Horned Frogs 71
2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% - ✓
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 ✓ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% - ✗
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 95.0% 5.0% - ✗

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McCraw * 40 6-9 5-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 17 13 -
J. Burtschi * 38 4-10 2-6 4-5 4 2 4 0 2 14 12 -
N. Welch * 34 4-8 0-3 7-8 7 1 1 0 4 15 12 -
D. Nwaelele * 33 0-6 0-6 4-4 1 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -
T. Anderson * 31 2-7 1-5 2-2 4 3 1 0 5 7 3 -
A. Henke 16 3-8 2-6 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
J. Frye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
A. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Kenzik 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Holland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Owens * 35 1-4 0-1 0-0 9 4 2 0 1 2 12 -
K. Langford * 34 2-6 0-1 5-8 4 2 2 0 5 9 6 -
A. Parker * 25 6-7 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 12 9 -
B. Hackett 27 4-11 2-5 1-2 4 3 2 0 1 11 8 -
N. Dougherty 26 1-1 0-0 3-7 1 4 1 0 0 5 10 -
F. Ibikunle 21 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
R. Wall 19 5-7 4-5 5-7 2 0 0 0 0 19 14 -
B. Adams 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter