Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Owens * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Langford * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Parker * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Hackett | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| F. Ibikunle | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Wall | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Dougherty | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Adams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Abukar * | 37 | 4-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| N. LeSure * | 36 | 5-18 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | - |
| R. Williams * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Habel * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Wade * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| K. Spain | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter