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Syracuse

Also known as: Syracuse Orange, Syracuse
Program History

2018 Team Stats (12 games)

61.4
PPG
65.8
Opp
-4.4
Margin
38.3%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
76.5%
FT%
35.4
RPG
8.3
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
57.4
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1299 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1212 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1083 (#59) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +12.0 (#43) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +12.0 (#32) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.624 (#101) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.6 More โ†’ 0.884 (#42) AdjNet +17.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.8 More โ†’ 0.886 (#42) AdjNet +17.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 57.4 More โ†’ 0.730 (#45) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 57.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 58.6 More โ†’ 0.648 (#45) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 58.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.785 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.772 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1230 (#37) RD 91 | GP 37

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Cornell Big Red W 77 - 45
2017-11-14 vs Iona Gaels W 71 - 62
2017-11-18 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 80 - 67
2017-11-20 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 74 - 50
2017-11-22 vs Toledo Rockets W 72 - 64
2017-11-27 vs Maryland Terrapins W 72 - 70
2017-12-02 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 60 - 76
2017-12-05 @ UConn Huskies W 72 - 63
2017-12-09 vs Colgate Raiders W 72 - 58
2017-12-16 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 86 - 79
2017-12-19 vs Buffalo Bulls W 81 - 74
2017-12-22 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 57 - 60
2017-12-27 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 62 - 47
2017-12-31 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 68 - 56
2018-01-03 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 67 - 73
2018-01-06 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 49 - 51
2018-01-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 61 - 68
2018-01-13 @ Florida State Seminoles L 90 - 101
2018-01-16 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 59 - 45
2018-01-24 vs Boston College Eagles W 81 - 63
2018-01-27 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 60 - 55
2018-01-31 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 51 - 55
2018-02-03 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 44 - 59
2018-02-05 @ Louisville Cardinals W 78 - 73
2018-02-11 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 78 - 70
2018-02-14 vs NC State Wolfpack L 70 - 74
2018-02-17 @ Miami Hurricanes W 62 - 55
2018-02-21 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 78
2018-02-24 @ Duke Blue Devils L 44 - 60
2018-02-28 @ Boston College Eagles L 70 - 85
2018-03-03 vs Clemson Tigers W 55 - 52
2018-03-06 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 73 - 64
2018-03-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 59 - 78
2018-03-14 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 60 - 56
2018-03-16 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 57 - 52
2018-03-18 @ Michigan State Spartans W 55 - 53
2018-03-23 @ Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 69

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyus Battle Tyus Battle G 35 39.1 19.4 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.2 2.4 7.5 16.1 96 32 3.0 3.3 33.7 27.3 83.1 1.36 113.0 39.4
Oshae Brissett Oshae Brissett - 35 38.0 15.1 8.8 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.9 5.9 19.0 98 32 3.1 3.5 33.8 30.5 79.1 1.76 107.8 39.9
Frank Howard Frank Howard G 35 38.3 14.3 3.3 4.6 1.6 0.3 3.5 6.3 14.3 110 32 3.4 3.8 34.7 31.0 85.7 1.86 105.3 41.7
Marek Dolezaj Marek Dolezaj F 35 28.1 5.8 4.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 1.3 2.1 10.3 108 32 3.4 5.2 57.3 33.3 72.4 3.63 115.1 58.0
Paschal Chukwu Paschal Chukwu C 35 27.4 5.3 6.9 0.4 0.7 2.5 1.1 1.1 13.6 123 32 3.8 6.0 70.0 0 68.2 2.51 155.8 70.0
Matthew Moyer Matthew Moyer F 33 17.0 3.2 3.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 6.8 10 30 0.3 0.8 50.0 0.0 60.0 -1.2 201.1 50.0
Bourama Sidibe Bourama Sidibe C 28 12.2 2.6 3.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.7 5.3 -16 25 -0.6 -2.2 35.0 0 50.0 -2.25 149.6 35.0
Howard Washington Howard Washington G 17 6.1 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.1 4 16 0.2 1.7 50.0 33.3 50.0 -2.87 110.0 58.3
Shaun Belbey Shaun Belbey G 3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.09 0 0
Patrick Herlihy Patrick Herlihy F 4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.43 0 0
Braedon Bayer Braedon Bayer G 9 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 13 8 1.6 31.1 0 0 0 1.17 0 0
Adrian Autry Adrian Autry G 3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 0.0 0.0
Ray Featherston Ray Featherston G 3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG