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Syracuse

Also known as: Syracuse Orange, Syracuse
Program History

2013 Team Stats (31 games)

72.0
PPG
57.5
Opp
+14.5
Margin
44.1%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
69.5%
FT%
38.7
RPG
14.4
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.4
Adj PPG
54.0
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1464 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1341 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1173 (#8) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +19.4 (#7) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +19.0 (#4) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.890 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.0 More โ†’ 0.970 (#9) AdjNet +30.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.3 More โ†’ 0.971 (#9) AdjNet +30.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 54.0 More โ†’ 0.842 (#6) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 54.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 53.1 More โ†’ 0.776 (#5) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 53.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.899 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.891 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 83 | GP 40 More โ†’ 1334 (#10) RD 83 | GP 40

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 62 - 49
2012-11-18 vs Wagner Seahawks W 88 - 57
2012-11-21 vs Princeton Tigers W 73 - 53
2012-11-25 vs Colgate Raiders W 87 - 51
2012-11-30 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 91 - 82
2012-12-03 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 84 - 48
2012-12-06 vs Long Beach State Beach W 84 - 53
2012-12-08 vs Monmouth Hawks W 108 - 56
2012-12-15 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 85 - 61
2012-12-17 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 72 - 68
2012-12-22 @ Temple Owls L 79 - 83
2012-12-29 vs Alcorn State Braves W 57 - 36
2012-12-31 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 96 - 62
2013-01-02 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 78 - 53
2013-01-06 @ South Florida Bulls W 55 - 44
2013-01-09 @ Providence Friars W 72 - 66
2013-01-12 vs Villanova Wildcats W 72 - 61
2013-01-19 @ Louisville Cardinals W 70 - 68
2013-01-21 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 57 - 55
2013-01-26 @ Villanova Wildcats L 71 - 75
2013-02-02 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 55 - 65
2013-02-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 63 - 47
2013-02-10 vs St. John's Red Storm W 77 - 58
2013-02-13 @ UConn Huskies L 58 - 66
2013-02-16 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 76 - 65
2013-02-20 vs Providence Friars W 84 - 59
2013-02-23 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 46 - 57
2013-02-25 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 71 - 74
2013-03-02 vs Louisville Cardinals L 53 - 58
2013-03-06 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 78 - 57
2013-03-09 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 39 - 61
2013-03-13 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 75 - 63
2013-03-14 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 62 - 59
2013-03-15 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 58 - 55
2013-03-16 @ Louisville Cardinals L 61 - 78
2013-03-21 vs Montana Grizzlies W 81 - 34
2013-03-23 vs California Golden Bears W 66 - 60
2013-03-28 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 61 - 50
2013-03-30 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 55 - 39
2013-04-06 @ Michigan Wolverines L 56 - 61

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C.J. Fair C.J. Fair F 40 34.9 14.5 7.0 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.6 10.4 12.4 362 37 9.8 12.6 46.5 44.4 75.7 2.9 60.5 49.4
Brandon Triche Brandon Triche G 40 33.8 13.6 3.4 3.6 1.2 0.1 2.7 10.3 8.9 400 37 10.8 14.3 41.6 29.4 75.3 4.99 56.6 47.5
James Southerland James Southerland F 34 29.5 13.3 5.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.2 9.8 10.8 286 32 8.9 13.6 46.1 40.6 81.1 2.19 63.1 58.1
Michael Carter-Williams Michael Carter-Williams G 40 35.2 11.8 4.9 7.3 2.8 0.5 3.4 9.1 14.8 389 37 10.5 13.2 39.3 29.8 71.3 3.27 53.8 44.0
Rakeem Christmas Rakeem Christmas F 40 20.8 5.1 4.6 0.2 0.5 1.8 0.9 3.9 7.5 250 37 6.8 14.3 53.5 0 59.2 0.36 58.1 53.5
DaJuan Coleman DaJuan Coleman C 24 12.7 4.8 4.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.0 3.9 5.0 151 22 6.9 21.4 44.1 0 46.2 0.54 46.9 44.1
Jerami Grant Jerami Grant F 40 14.3 3.9 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 2.8 4.7 138 37 3.7 11.7 46.0 40.0 56.2 1.27 53.4 48.7
B. Keita B. Keita C 40 16.8 3.7 3.7 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 2.0 6.7 152 36 4.2 11.0 61.7 0 61.4 0.17 70.2 61.7
Trevor Cooney Trevor Cooney G 39 11.2 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 3.6 1.5 99 35 2.8 10.7 32.6 26.5 84.6 -2.55 45.3 42.2
Albert Nassar Albert Nassar F 5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.84 150.0 150.0
Noel Jones Noel Jones F 6 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 -7 6 -1.2 -39.3 50.0 0 0 -1.92 50.0 50.0
Matt Lyde-Cajuste Matt Lyde-Cajuste F 13 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0 12 0.0 0.0 16.7 0.0 0 -0.71 16.7 16.7
Nolan Hart Nolan Hart G 11 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 -7 10 -0.7 -22.4 16.7 0.0 0.0 -2.03 15.5 16.7
G. Hoffmann G. Hoffmann G 13 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.3 -6 11 -0.5 -18.2 0.0 0.0 25.0 -1.71 7.4 0.0
Russ DeRemer Russ DeRemer G 11 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 -7 10 -0.7 -22.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.03 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG