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Samford

Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

54.5
PPG
62.5
Opp
-8.0
Margin
43.4%
FG%
21.2%
3P%
57.7%
FT%
29.0
RPG
10.5
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.9
Adj PPG
66.3
Adj Opp PPG
#298
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 740 (#305) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 853 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 881 (#318) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.9 (#298) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -11.2 (#309) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.213 (#298) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.2 More โ†’ 0.147 (#300) AdjNet -15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.3 More โ†’ 0.145 (#300) AdjNet -15.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.299 (#298) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 66.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.307 (#322) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.232 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.233 (#311) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 26 More โ†’ 801 (#299) RD 160 | GP 26

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 61 - 64
2010-11-15 vs Tennessee Wesleyan Bulldogs W 57 - 54
2010-11-19 @ Auburn Tigers W 79 - 68
2010-11-20 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 55 - 68
2010-11-21 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 60 - 56
2010-11-24 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 49 - 60
2010-11-27 @ Georgia State Panthers W 70 - 61
2010-12-02 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 63 - 58
2010-12-04 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers L 69 - 78
2010-12-11 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 68 - 60
2010-12-18 vs Asbury College Eagles W 80 - 67
2010-12-20 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 74 - 73
2010-12-22 @ Creighton Bluejays L 40 - 58
2010-12-31 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 55 - 51
2011-01-06 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 68 - 64
2011-01-08 @ Elon Phoenix L 54 - 67
2011-01-15 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 60 - 65
2011-01-17 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 50 - 61
2011-01-20 @ Furman Paladins L 55 - 74
2011-01-22 @ Wofford Terriers L 43 - 81
2011-01-27 vs Elon Phoenix W 69 - 67
2011-01-29 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 72 - 91
2011-02-03 vs Davidson Wildcats L 49 - 62
2011-02-16 vs Wofford Terriers L 68 - 81
2011-02-19 vs Furman Paladins L 63 - 70
2011-02-21 @ Charleston Cougars L 49 - 75
2011-02-26 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 72 - 77
2011-03-04 @ Furman Paladins L 48 - 61

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeffrey Merritt Jeffrey Merritt G 14 31.1 9.9 5.1 1.8 1.1 0.4 2.1 2.9 13.3 -129 25 -5.2 -7.4 45.0 33.3 57.1 -0.04 140.1 48.8
Josh Bedwell Josh Bedwell G 14 21.9 7.7 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.2 1.5 9.4 -79 25 -3.2 -6.4 61.9 57.1 76.9 -0.89 202.1 81.0
John Peterson John Peterson F 14 18.6 7.0 3.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.4 8.5 -98 25 -3.9 -10.7 57.9 30.0 69.2 -3.76 198.2 65.8
Gregg Wooten Gregg Wooten G 14 23.0 7.0 1.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 1.5 2.4 6.8 -85 24 -3.5 -7.3 36.4 20.0 41.4 -1.21 107.1 39.4
Drew Windler Drew Windler F 14 17.5 6.4 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.4 2.0 6.6 -131 25 -5.2 -13.4 39.3 18.2 77.8 -3.04 140.8 42.9
Andy King Andy King C 14 18.5 6.1 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 1.7 7.7 6 24 0.2 0.6 33.3 27.8 100.0 3.88 170.8 43.8
Josh Davis Josh Davis G 14 23.1 4.9 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.9 1.5 6.6 -117 25 -4.7 -8.9 42.9 21.4 0 -3.08 161.9 50.0
Will Cook Will Cook G 9 12.7 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.6 2.8 -27 18 -1.5 -6.7 57.1 42.9 100.0 -1.23 104.4 67.9
Gaby Bermudez Gaby Bermudez G 13 20.5 3.4 0.9 1.9 0.6 0.0 1.5 1.0 4.4 -104 24 -4.3 -9.7 61.5 66.7 50.0 -3.14 140.7 76.9
Kaylin Johnson Kaylin Johnson G 14 16.5 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.9 3.9 -104 25 -4.2 -10.3 15.4 0.0 70.0 -2.44 109.2 15.4
Matthew Friday Matthew Friday C 9 6.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 3.1 -59 17 -3.5 -38.3 100.0 0 66.7 -4.96 210.8 100.0
Levi Barnes Levi Barnes C 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.73 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG