Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -11 (50-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wells | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Zach Urbanus | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Austin Dahn | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Bo Holston | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Eykyn | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Groselle | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Bryan Streeter | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Merritt | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Josh Davis | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Andy King | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Josh Bedwell | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Gregg Wooten | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Gaby Bermudez | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| John Peterson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Kaylin Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Drew Windler | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter