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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“

Actual: Furman Paladins +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeffrey Merritt * 35 2-5 0-1 3-5 5 1 1 0 3 7 6 -
Gaby Bermudez * 28 2-4 1-2 2-4 2 2 1 0 3 7 5 -
Drew Windler * 26 2-6 0-2 6-7 3 2 1 0 2 10 8 -
Josh Bedwell * 22 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Will Cook * 21 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Gregg Wooten 21 1-6 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Kaylin Johnson 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
Andy King 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Josh Davis 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
John Peterson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Matthew Friday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller * 30 7-10 4-6 5-8 4 4 2 1 1 23 23 -
D. Evans * 29 0-2 0-2 0-3 2 4 1 0 2 0 3 -
A. Saaka * 25 3-7 1-4 2-2 7 1 0 0 3 9 7 -
B. Sebirumbi * 21 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 10 4 -
N. States * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Dehm 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 1 -
C. Toler 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 1 -
C. Reddick 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
C. Reddick 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
R. Brown 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
B. Barnes 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Austin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Duval 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter