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Saint Francis Red Flash

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Joe Haigh

2017 Team Stats (7 games)

72.9
PPG
79.7
Opp
-6.9
Margin
37.0%
FG%
27.7%
3P%
64.1%
FT%
35.1
RPG
12.9
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.2
Adj PPG
77.3
Adj Opp PPG
#245
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 880 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 909 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More → 1010 (#157) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -8.5 (#255) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -8.0 (#249) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.570 (#138) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.222 (#242) AdjNet -10.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.219 (#242) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.344 (#245) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.457 (#188) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.351 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.373 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 32 More → 931 (#213) RD 109 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-13 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 103 - 100
2016-11-15 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 91 - 104
2016-11-19 vs Columbia Lions L 77 - 84
2016-11-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 95 - 74
2016-11-28 vs Cornell Big Red L 72 - 78
2016-12-03 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 68 - 69
2016-12-12 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 70 - 59
2016-12-14 @ South Florida Bulls L 80 - 129
2016-12-16 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 82 - 90
2016-12-17 @ Jackson State Lady Tigers L 84 - 88
2016-12-20 @ William & Mary Tribe L 60 - 73
2016-12-29 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 82 - 79
2016-12-31 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 63 - 73
2017-01-07 vs LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 66 - 52
2017-01-09 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 79 - 62
2017-01-14 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 97 - 88
2017-01-16 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 70 - 55
2017-01-21 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 87 - 81
2017-01-23 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 79 - 67
2017-01-28 @ Wagner Seahawks W 67 - 46
2017-01-30 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 68 - 70
2017-02-04 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 74 - 30
2017-02-06 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 75 - 59
2017-02-11 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 58 - 66
2017-02-13 vs Wagner Seahawks L 71 - 87
2017-02-18 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 70 - 85
2017-02-20 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 72 - 70
2017-02-25 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 73 - 64
2017-02-27 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 83 - 69
2017-03-05 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 57 - 65
2017-03-16 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 79 - 68
2017-03-19 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 57 - 67

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Kovatch J. Kovatch G 7 31.6 21.6 4.9 2.3 2.0 0.6 2.9 18.7 9.7 - - - - 38.9 32.0 75.8 - 51.9 48.1
A. Harrison A. Harrison F 6 30.7 16.7 9.2 2.2 5.7 1.0 2.5 13.5 18.7 - - - - 48.1 23.5 48.6 - 51.4 50.6
K. Reese K. Reese G 7 32.0 12.7 3.3 3.1 1.6 0.3 3.6 11.7 5.7 - - - - 36.6 32.0 81.2 - 50.0 46.3
H. Adams H. Adams G 5 15.4 7.6 3.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.4 5.6 6.6 - - - - 50.0 42.9 100.0 - 66.8 66.1
C. Zezza C. Zezza C 7 25.1 7.4 4.9 0.9 1.1 3.3 1.4 8.0 8.1 - - - - 32.1 30.4 56.2 - 41.2 38.4
M. Wynn M. Wynn G 6 25.3 5.2 2.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 1.7 9.5 0.3 - - - - 22.8 13.9 0 - 27.2 27.2
S. Bethel S. Bethel G 7 21.1 4.3 4.3 0.6 1.6 0.6 1.9 3.4 6.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 60.0 - 52.8 50.0
C. Smith C. Smith F 2 15.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 - - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
J. Scott J. Scott F 6 6.7 1.3 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.8 - - - - 27.3 33.3 0 - 36.4 36.4
C. Carroll C. Carroll G 5 4.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.6 -0.4 - - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
T. Allison T. Allison G 7 12.6 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 5.6 0.0
J. Falvey J. Falvey F 7 5.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
S. Marino S. Marino G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG