Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Saint Francis Red Flash | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✗ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Flash -16 (71-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baggs | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| K. Phills | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 25 | - |
| J. McClure | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Butigian | 31 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | - |
| T. Russell | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 9 | - |
| K. Crouch | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Sabino | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison | 31 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 4-13 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 30 | - |
| J. Kovatch | 28 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Reese | 26 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| H. Adams | 24 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Allison | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Bethel | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wynn | 18 | 1-13 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| C. Zezza | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Scott | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Carroll | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Falvey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter