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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

2017 Team Stats (4 games)

72.0
PPG
84.8
Opp
-12.8
Margin
43.3%
FG%
37.8%
3P%
66.2%
FT%
35.3
RPG
12.3
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.5
Adj PPG
77.0
Adj Opp PPG
#254
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 907 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 908 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1036 (#118) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -6.3 (#258) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -4.8 (#240) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.481 (#185) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.255 (#263) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.4 More โ†’ 0.253 (#262) AdjNet -9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 77.0 More โ†’ 0.377 (#254) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 77.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 73.7 More โ†’ 0.478 (#187) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.393 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.413 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 33 More โ†’ 910 (#229) RD 105 | GP 33

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 82 - 92
2016-11-16 @ Duquesne Dukes L 75 - 89
2016-11-19 vs Chatham Cougars W 119 - 59
2016-11-23 vs Longwood Lancers W 87 - 72
2016-11-26 @ American University Eagles W 69 - 62
2016-11-30 @ NJIT Highlanders L 70 - 83
2016-12-03 vs Binghamton Bearcats L 70 - 73
2016-12-12 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 67 - 100
2016-12-17 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 63 - 75
2016-12-19 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 65 - 78
2016-12-21 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 58 - 81
2016-12-29 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 65 - 77
2016-12-31 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 87 - 67
2017-01-05 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 81 - 56
2017-01-07 vs Long Island University Sharks L 70 - 83
2017-01-12 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 77 - 57
2017-01-14 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 72 - 78
2017-01-19 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 75 - 61
2017-01-21 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 83 - 84
2017-01-26 @ Wagner Seahawks W 72 - 67
2017-01-28 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 89 - 83
2017-02-02 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 78 - 61
2017-02-04 @ Long Island University Sharks W 80 - 78
2017-02-09 vs Wagner Seahawks L 74 - 76
2017-02-11 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 62 - 81
2017-02-16 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 80 - 71
2017-02-18 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 75 - 79
2017-02-23 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 64
2017-02-25 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 70 - 64
2017-03-01 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 100 - 78
2017-03-04 @ Wagner Seahawks W 71 - 70
2017-03-07 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 61 - 71
2017-03-14 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 78 - 76
2017-03-18 @ UMBC Retrievers L 79 - 87

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Blackmon Isaiah Blackmon G 17 24.7 12.8 4.1 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.4 2.7 15.2 49 26 1.9 3.1 34.8 31.6 68.8 1.26 205.5 41.3
Jamaal King Jamaal King G 17 26.4 11.9 2.9 3.5 1.3 0.1 3.0 2.7 13.9 55 29 1.9 2.8 43.5 33.3 62.5 1.15 204.0 52.2
Keith Braxton Keith Braxton G 17 31.8 11.6 7.8 3.1 1.6 0.2 2.4 2.1 19.8 7 29 0.2 0.3 41.7 42.9 66.7 -0.84 239.8 45.8
Josh Nebo Josh Nebo F 4 29.2 10.8 9.8 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.8 8.5 11.2 57 29 2.0 2.9 47.1 0 55.0 0.2 50.2 47.1
Georgios Angelou Georgios Angelou G 17 21.9 7.6 1.4 2.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 1.8 8.7 -40 29 -1.4 -2.7 45.2 36.4 100.0 -3.52 203.9 58.1
R. Gaskins Jr. R. Gaskins Jr. G 17 28.1 7.4 1.8 1.4 1.4 0.3 1.1 1.7 9.4 -10 27 -0.4 -0.6 51.7 75.0 66.7 -2.75 197.5 56.9
Scott Meredith Scott Meredith G 14 12.5 4.9 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.3 5.4 -23 21 -1.1 -4.8 38.9 41.2 0 -1.3 188.9 58.3
Andre Wolford Andre Wolford G 14 8.3 4.2 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.2 4.3 23 27 0.9 3.6 35.3 30.8 80.0 -0.31 153.6 47.1
Deon Baker Deon Baker G 4 3.0 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0 5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 100.0 -0.83 135.1 50.0
Patrick Wrencher Patrick Wrencher F 14 6.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.4 8 19 0.4 2.6 30.0 0 80.0 1.82 97.2 30.0
Jordan Forehand Jordan Forehand G 2 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 - - - - 66.7 0 0 -1.15 66.7 66.7
Tre McKeithen Tre McKeithen G 3 3.3 1.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.11 250.0 0.0
Deivydas Kuzavas Deivydas Kuzavas F 11 8.5 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 2.8 -19 22 -0.9 -4.9 80.0 0 0.0 -2.39 165.4 80.0
Michael Klebon Michael Klebon G 4 3.8 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 -1 5 -0.2 -4.3 0.0 0 0 -0.79 300.0 0.0
Ifeanyi Umezurike Ifeanyi Umezurike C 10 9.9 1.4 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.2 2.9 -61 16 -3.8 -29.8 0.0 0 0 -6.16 350.0 0.0
Daniel Wallace Daniel Wallace C 9 5.9 0.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 2.1 -31 12 -2.6 -27.0 0 0 100.0 -4.46 227.3 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG