Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (87-79). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Blackmon * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Randall Gaskins Jr. * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Josh Nebo * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal King * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Keith Braxton * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Georgios Angelou | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Scott Meredith | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Wrencher | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Andre Wolford | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Will Darley * | 32 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Elliott | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Arkel Lamar | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter