Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Blackmon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| R. Gaskins Jr. * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal King * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Keith Braxton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Georgios Angelou | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Scott Meredith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Wrencher | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Andre Wolford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Will Darley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 34 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Rodney Elliott | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Arkel Lamar | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter