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2017-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.4% 74.6% +5.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Nebo 39 5-9 0-0 2-8 11 0 0 3 6 12 11 -
Isaiah Blackmon * 38 5-15 3-6 4-6 9 1 2 0 2 17 12 -
R. Gaskins Jr. * 34 2-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Keith Braxton * 34 3-8 0-1 1-2 7 1 1 0 2 7 6 -
Jamaal King * 22 5-8 1-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 11 7 -
Georgios Angelou 17 4-10 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 1 -
Andre Wolford 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
Patrick Wrencher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Junior Robinson * 40 5-13 1-4 11-13 2 2 0 1 2 22 12 -
Miles Wilson * 38 5-12 2-5 3-4 10 2 1 1 2 15 15 -
Chris Wray * 37 5-11 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 0 10 9 -
Elijah Mitrou-Long * 37 9-19 2-6 4-5 9 2 2 0 2 24 16 -
Mawdo Sallah * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Greg Alexander 27 0-6 0-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
Will Miller 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Khalid Nwandu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ryan Gomes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Glover 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter