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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

2014 Team Stats (6 games)

60.8
PPG
69.8
Opp
-9.0
Margin
39.0%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
77.9%
FT%
29.8
RPG
11.8
APG
8.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.5
Adj PPG
68.7
Adj Opp PPG
#314
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 871 (#267) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 832 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 963 (#228) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -10.9 (#312) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -9.0 (#298) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.210 (#315) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.9 More โ†’ 0.112 (#320) AdjNet -17.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.1 More โ†’ 0.110 (#320) AdjNet -18.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 68.7 More โ†’ 0.283 (#314) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.368 (#299) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.264 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.280 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 31 More โ†’ 859 (#265) RD 147 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Fordham Rams L 67 - 87
2013-11-11 vs Navy Midshipmen W 60 - 57
2013-11-13 @ Dayton Flyers L 56 - 70
2013-11-16 @ Bucknell Bison L 50 - 72
2013-11-19 @ George Mason Patriots L 46 - 58
2013-11-23 @ Colgate Raiders L 64 - 81
2013-11-30 vs American University Eagles L 43 - 75
2013-12-04 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 50 - 57
2013-12-07 @ Cornell Big Red W 72 - 62
2013-12-17 vs Duquesne Dukes L 71 - 78
2013-12-22 @ Drexel Dragons L 49 - 59
2013-12-31 @ Denver Pioneers L 61 - 83
2014-01-04 vs NJIT Highlanders L 56 - 64
2014-01-09 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 67 - 77
2014-01-11 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 75 - 67
2014-01-16 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 68 - 73
2014-01-18 vs Wagner Seahawks L 50 - 56
2014-01-23 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 77 - 83
2014-01-25 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 68 - 66
2014-01-30 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 69 - 63
2014-02-01 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 83 - 75
2014-02-06 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 52 - 78
2014-02-08 @ Long Island University Sharks W 74 - 58
2014-02-13 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 60 - 66
2014-02-15 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 89 - 82
2014-02-20 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 44 - 73
2014-02-22 vs Long Island University Sharks W 83 - 64
2014-02-27 @ Wagner Seahawks L 45 - 74
2014-03-01 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 55 - 78
2014-03-05 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 55 - 54
2014-03-08 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 57 - 60

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Earl Brown Earl Brown F 29 33.1 13.6 8.1 1.6 0.8 1.0 2.6 4.4 18.0 -109 23 -4.7 -6.2 51.2 20.0 66.7 -1.44 137.9 51.6
Malik Harmon Malik Harmon G 29 30.2 8.9 2.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 1.7 2.7 11.0 -93 23 -4.0 -5.9 24.1 29.3 72.2 -0.83 149.0 31.6
Ben Millaud-Meunier Ben Millaud-Meunier G 29 20.0 8.6 1.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.0 2.9 7.8 -142 23 -6.2 -15.2 31.0 34.9 80.6 -6.3 125.2 44.0
Ronnie Drinnon Ronnie Drinnon F 25 23.9 7.4 5.8 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 2.4 12.6 -35 21 -1.7 -3.2 51.7 28.6 50.0 0.73 139.8 53.3
Dominique Major Dominique Major G 29 24.5 7.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.0 6.9 -57 23 -2.5 -4.4 36.8 37.8 53.3 -0.72 158.8 51.8
Stephon Mosley Stephon Mosley F 8 20.5 6.5 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.5 2.1 7.6 -70 7 -10.0 -19.4 64.7 100.0 57.1 -3.76 129.5 70.6
Stephon Whyatt Stephon Whyatt G 28 17.8 5.2 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.4 6.4 -38 22 -1.7 -4.0 40.0 16.7 68.8 -0.6 156.2 42.5
Ollie Jackson Ollie Jackson G 29 20.6 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.3 1.4 2.6 6.1 -93 23 -4.0 -8.0 28.4 24.5 83.3 0.4 90.8 36.5
Greg Brown Greg Brown G 29 22.8 3.8 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 1.1 1.5 6.6 -85 23 -3.7 -6.4 39.5 33.3 66.7 -2.45 113.9 44.2
Patrick Wrencher Patrick Wrencher F 11 4.1 1.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 -6 8 -0.8 -6.2 50.0 0 0 -1.93 175.0 50.0
Georgios Angelou Georgios Angelou G 13 6.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 -24 9 -2.7 -19.7 42.9 42.9 0 -3.89 100.0 64.3
Matthew Mazzara Matthew Mazzara G 5 2.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aric Gresko Aric Gresko G 5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 0.67 0 0
Dalton Cesarz Dalton Cesarz G 4 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG